Wednesday, November 20, 2024

Packers vs. Lions player props, Monday Night Football picks: Aaron Rodgers over 277.5 passing yards

Packers vs. Lions player props, Monday Night Football picks: Aaron Rodgers over 277.5 passing yards

What better way for the Green Bay Packers to prove that last week’s decisive loss to New Orleans was a fluke than responding with a strong performance on Monday Night Football. Aaron Rodgers and company have a chance to do that at home against Detroit on Monday at 8:15 p.m. ET. Packers fans watched as Rodgers threw for just 133 yards and two interceptions in his 2021 debut against the Saints. His follow-up performance is the focus of numerous NFL prop bets at Caesars Sportsbook. Which other Packers vs. Lions props should you consider as you place your NFL bets for Monday Night Football?

Rodgers’ over-under total for passing yards against Detroit sits at 277.5 for Monday’s Packers vs. Lions matchup. His top receiver, Davante Adams, has a total yards projection of 81.5 after he only came away with 56 last weekend. Other top names like Green Bay running back Aaron Jones and Detroit tight end T.J. Hockenson also headline the NFL player props. Before submitting any NFL prop bets for Packers vs. Lions, you need to see the Packers vs. Lions prop predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,900 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. It went a sizzling 24-14 on top-rated NFL picks last season, returning more than $800. The model also enters Week 2 of the 2021 season on an incredible 121-79 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

It can also be used to crush prop picks. The model’s Week 1 player props were a strong 16-11, returning almost $400. Last season, the player over-under prop picks went 389-310, returning over $3,000.

With Lions and Packers facing off Monday, the model has evaluated the NFL player props from Caesars and found five strong bets. You can only see them here.

Top NFL player prop bets for Lions vs. Packers

After simulating Packers vs. Lions 10,000 times, the model predicts that Rodgers will easily surpass 277.5 passing yards and finish with 303. Currently, Detroit’s defense has also allowed the second-most passing yards per attempt among all NFL teams, at 11.5.

49ers quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo only threw 25 passes and completed 17 of them for 314 yards last week against the Lions. Detroit got next to no pressure on Garoppolo and finished the game with just two knockdowns despite blitzing on half of its defensive plays.

In Adams’ case, a rising tide lifts all boats, and the model likes him to come away with a far better performance than he had last week, and top his projection of 81.5 yards with 112 on Monday Night Football. If Rodgers is expected to put up 300, most of that is going to come via Adams, who had nearly 30 percent of Green Bay’s receiving targets last season.

The inexperience in Detroit’s secondary has been a speaking point all off-season long, and Adams should be able to benefit in his next outing. In two games last season against Detroit, Adams caught 10 of his 13 targets for 151 yards and a touchdown.

How to make NFL player prop bets for Packers vs. Lions

In addition, the model says another player blows past his yardage total. You need to see the model’s analysis before making any Packers vs. Lions prop bets for Monday.

Which Lions vs. Packers prop bets should you back on Monday Night Football? And which player sails over his yardage total? Visit SportsLine now to see the top Packers vs. Lions prop bets for Monday, all from the model that’s up almost $7,900 on top-rated NFL picks.

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