The New York Mets look to put a stop to a five-game losing streak when they host the Miami Marlins on Tuesday. The Mets and Marlins will face off in a doubleheader, with the early game taking place in the afternoon at Citi Field. Marcus Stroman will take the ball for the Mets. He will be opposed by Trevor Rogers for the Marlins, as Miami also seeks to end a five-game skid.
First pitch is at 4:10 p.m. ET in New York. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Mets as a -160 favorite on the money line, while the Over-Under, or total number of runs Vegas thinks will be scored, is 5.5 in the latest Mets vs. Marlins odds. Before you make any Mets vs. Marlins picks and MLB predictions, be sure to see the MLB predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.
This model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, is 199-180 on top-rated MLB money-line picks through 26 weeks in the 2021 season, returning almost $700. It also had a banner 2019 season, the league’s last full schedule, returning more than $1,400 on its top-rated money-line and run-line picks. Anyone following it has seen some huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Mets vs. Marlins and just revealed its picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see its picks. Now, here are several MLB odds and betting trends for Mets vs. Marlins:
- Marlins vs. Mets money line: Mets -160, Marlins +150
- Marlins vs. Mets over-under: 5.5 runs
- Marlins vs. Mets run line: Mets -1.5
- Miami: The Mets have lost five straight games
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New York: The Marlins are 24-53 on the road this season
Featured Game | New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins
Why you should back the Marlins
While the Mets have a strong starter as well, Miami is sending Rogers to the mound with full confidence. Rogers has a blistering 2.67 ERA in 24 starts this season, including a 2.60 ERA on the road. He threw six shutout innings against the Mets in his only start against New York in 2021, and Rogers has 151 strikeouts in 128 innings this season. Rogers has been notably dominant against right-handed hitters (.594 OPS allowed), and he can hand the ball to a strong bullpen.
Miami is currently No. 2 in the NL in wins above replacement among bullpens, and it has a 3.76 ERA with only 0.79 home runs allowed per nine innings. The Mets do have a big power source in Pete Alonso, but New York is dead-last in the National League in hits (1,188), with bottom-five rankings in doubles (216), home runs (168), walks (475), slugging percentage (.388) and OPS (.703) for the season.
Why you should back the Mets
Alonso anchors a New York offense that has a higher upside than what Miami can bring. Alonso has 35 home runs and a .512 slugging percentage this season, even as the rest of the Mets have scuffled. In contrast, Miami is a bottom-five team in runs scored (606), doubles (223) and OPS (.675), with league-worst marks in walks (430) and on-base percentage (.299) this season.
New York can take solace in starting pitcher Stroman, who sits in a tie for the MLB lead with 32 starts. Stroman has been excellent, headlined by a 3.00 ERA overall and a 2.96 ERA at home, and his command is always spot-on. Stroman has also enjoyed success against Miami in 2021, with three starts under his belt and a very potent 2.13 ERA against the Marlins.
How to make Mets vs. Marlins picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning under the total, projecting 5.4 combined runs. It also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get the model’s MLB picks at SportsLine.
So who wins Mets vs. Marlins? And which side has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its MLB picks, and find out.
