The Chicago Bears are reeling heading into a Week 4 matchup against the Detroit Lions after rookie quarterback Justin Fields was sacked nine times in his first career start. Head coach Matt Nagy has been under fire all week for what most have deemed to be a lackluster game plan, but the Bears are still slight three-point home favorites over the Lions in the Week 4 NFL odds at Caesars Sportsbook. Should you back Nagy, Fields and the Bears to bounce back as you make your Week 4 NFL office pool picks?
Fading rookie quarterback starters in general has been a winning strategy, as they’re off to a 1-9 start on the season, with the only win coming in a game in which two rookie QBs faced each other. Is that an NFL trend that will continue or should you consider other teams with your NFL confidence pool picks? Before you make your NFL predictions, you need to see the Week 4 NFL football pool picks from SportsLine’s proven model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,900 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six years ago. It went a sizzling 24-14 on top-rated NFL picks last season, returning more than $800. The model also enters the 2021 season on an incredible 123-81 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
More importantly for NFL confidence pool players, the model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports office pool players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has simulated the entire Week 4 NFL schedule 10,000 times and generated its optimal NFL pick’em plays. Go to SportsLine to see them.
Top Week 4 NFL office pool predictions
One of the top Week 4 NFL pick’em predictions from the model: Tennessee cruises past the New York Jets and gets a comfortable win at home as a 7.5-point favorite.
Jets rookie quarterback Zach Wilson is off to a miserable start, as he’s been sacked 15 times, fumbled once and thrown seven interceptions through three games.
The Jets’ defense ranks 14th in the NFL in points allowed and 10th in yards allowed, but they’ve battled against poor field position all season and will be challenged in a big way by Derrick Henry and the Titans. The Jets have allowed five rushing touchdowns already this season and Henry has found his stride in recent weeks.
Henry has rushed 63 times for 295 yards while adding nine catches for 86 yards in his last two games. When the Titans can avoid facing an early deficit and commit to giving Henry 25 to 30 touches, he’ll wear on the defense and eventually start earning chunk yardage. The model is predicting that Henry goes over 120 scrimmage yards on Sunday to help the Titans win in nearly 80 percent of projections by a predicted final score of 28-16.
How to make Week 4 NFL office pool picks
The model also made the call on every other Week 4 game and has strong picks for potentially close matchups like Broncos vs. Ravens and 49ers vs. Seahawks. It’s also calling for a Super Bowl contender to go down hard. You can only see all of the model’s NFL pool picks here.
So who should you pick in every Week 4 NFL game? And which Super Bowl favorite goes down hard? Visit SportsLine now to get optimal NFL office pool picks, all from the advanced computer model that has ranked in the Top 10 on straight-up picks four of the last five years and went an outstanding 123-81 on top-ranked picks since 2017 .
