Entering Week 4 of the 2021 NFL schedule, NFL pick’em players are still trying to figure out their strategies. Anyone who hasn’t included many underdogs in their NFL office pool picks is already way behind the eight-ball. There have already been 19 underdogs that have won outright through three weeks, so if you’ve just been following the NFL odds with your NFL picks, you’re probably near the bottom of the standings. Many assigned the Chiefs a high number of points in their NFL confidence pool picks last week only to see them lose 30-24 to the Chargers.
So which big favorites aren’t trustworthy as you make your Week 4 NFL pool picks, and which underdogs can you ride to victory? There are six games with NFL spreads of a field goal or less, so a little help could go a long way during what has already been a wild year. Before you make your NFL predictions, you need to see the Week 4 NFL football pool picks from SportsLine’s proven model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,900 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six years ago. It went a sizzling 24-14 on top-rated NFL picks last season, returning more than $800. The model also enters the 2021 season on an incredible 123-81 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
More importantly for NFL confidence pool players, the model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports office pool players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has simulated the entire Week 4 NFL schedule 10,000 times and generated its optimal NFL pick’em plays. Go to SportsLine to see them.
Top Week 4 NFL office pool predictions
One of the top Week 4 NFL pick’em predictions from the model: Tennessee cruises past the New York Jets and gets a comfortable win as a 7.5-point favorite.
Despite being blown out 38-13 at home against the Cardinals to open the season, the Titans have continued to follow the formula that’s helped them make the postseason the last two seasons.
Running back Derrick Henry was limited to 58 yards on 17 carries in that Week 1 loss, but has bounced back to rush for 295 yards on 63 carries while adding nine receptions for 86 yards in his last two games. The Titans’ defense has been tightening up with Henry helping keep opposing offenses on the sidelines. Tennessee went from allowing 417 yards in Week 1 to 396 in an overtime win in Week 2. Tennessee held the Colts to 265 yards in a Week 3 win.
With Henry rushing for over 100 yards and the Jets barely cracking 300 yards of total offense, the Titans win in nearly 80 percent of simulations and even cover the 7.5-point spread 60 percent of the time.
How to make Week 4 NFL office pool picks
The model also made the call on every other Week 4 game and has strong picks for potentially close matchups like Broncos vs. Ravens and 49ers vs. Seahawks. It’s also calling for a Super Bowl contender to go down hard. You can only see all of the model’s NFL pool picks here.
So who should you pick in every Week 4 NFL game? And which Super Bowl favorite goes down hard? Visit SportsLine now to get optimal NFL office pool picks, all from the advanced computer model that has ranked in the Top 10 on straight-up picks four of the last five years and went an outstanding 123-81 on top-ranked picks since 2017 .
