Week 4 of the 2021 NFL schedule will wrap up with a high-profile matchup on Monday Night Football. The AFC West takes center stage when the Las Vegas Raiders visit the Los Angeles Chargers in primetime. Las Vegas entered the week as one of five remaining undefeated teams in the league, winning their first three games in close-fought fashion. Los Angeles is 2-1 on the year, headlined by an upset victory over the Kansas City Chiefs last week.
Kick-off is at 8:15 p.m. ET in Los Angeles. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Chargers as three-point favorites, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 51.5 in the latest Raiders vs. Chargers odds. Before you make any Chargers vs. Raiders picks, make sure to check out the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,900 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. It went a sizzling 24-14 on top-rated NFL picks last season, returning more than $800. The model also enters Week 4 of the 2021 season on an incredible 123-81 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has simulated Chargers vs. Raiders 10,000 times and just revealed its NFL expert picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see its picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting trends for Raiders vs. Chargers:
- Raiders vs. Chargers spread: Chargers -3
- Raiders vs. Chargers over-under: 51.5 points
- Raiders vs. Chargers money line: Chargers -170, Raiders +145
- LV: Raiders are 2-1 against the spread this season
- LAC: Under has hit in all three Chargers’ games this season
Featured Game | Los Angeles Chargers vs. Las Vegas Raiders
Why the Raiders can cover
The Raiders have been strong offensively this season, and it shows in their numerical profile. Las Vegas is leading the NFL in total offense, averaging 471 yards per game, and the Raiders are also No. 1 in passing offense, putting up nearly 380 yards per contest. Las Vegas is No. 2 in first downs (76), and the Raiders have committed only two turnovers this season, including zero fumbles. All of that comes together in pushing the Raiders to a scoring average of 30 points per game, and they are scoring on 48.6 percent of offensive possessions.
Las Vegas is capable of keeping the chains moving, converting on 46.5 percent of its third down chances this season, and the Raiders are also a top-10 team in rushing touchdowns with a trio of effective running backs. Los Angeles is currently dead-last in the NFL in rushing defense, giving up 170 yards per game and nearly six yards per carry, and that should pave the way to balance for the Raiders in this spot.
Why the Chargers can cover
Justin Herbert keys a potent Chargers offense that is capable of scoring in bunches. The second-year quarterback ranks in the top five of the NFL in passing yards (956) and completions (88), with a top-10 mark in passing touchdowns (six). Herbert is also very strong at avoiding sacks, getting tackled behind the line of scrimmage on only 3.82 percent of his drop backs. As a team, the Chargers are top-10 in total offense, and they lead the NFL in yards per drive (45.5).
With Herbert at the helm, the Chargers are No. 4 in passing offense with more than 307.3 yards per game. Los Angeles is converting a blistering 54.8 percent of its third down chances this season, and the Chargers are turning the ball over on only 15.4 percent of drives. All told, the Chargers are scoring points on 50 percent of their offensive possessions, and that is a recipe that is conducive to high-level success.
How to make Chargers vs. Raiders picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 57 points. It also says one side of the spread cashes in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see which side to back here.
So who wins Chargers vs. Raiders on Monday Night Football? And which side cashes in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Chargers vs. Raiders spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up nearly $7,900 on its NFL picks, and find out.
