Sunday, October 6, 2024

Alabama vs. Texas A&M odds, line: 2021 college football picks, SEC on CBS predictions from model on 12-4 run

Alabama vs. Texas A&M odds, line: 2021 college football picks, SEC on CBS predictions from model on 12-4 run

With Texas A&M reeling from two consecutive defeats, top-ranked Alabama will look to take advantage when the teams meet in an SEC on CBS matchup on Saturday. The Crimson Tide (5-0, 2-0), who are playing just their second true road game of the season, are looking to complete an unbeaten road slate for the second year in a row and third time in four years. The Aggies (3-2, 0-2), who opened the season at No. 6 in the polls, have suffered SEC losses at Arkansas 20-10 and at home against Mississippi State, 26-22. Alabama is averaging 45.6 points per game.

The game from Kyle Field at College Station, Texas, is slated to start at 8 p.m. ET. Alabama is allowing just 18.2 points per game, 28th nationally, while Texas A&M is giving up 12.6, fifth-best in the country. The Crimson Tide are favored by 18 points in the latest Alabama vs. Texas A&M odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 50.5. Before making any Texas A&M vs. Alabama picks, be sure to check out the college football predictions and analysis from the proven SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,400 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 6 of the 2021 season on a 12-4 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has locked in on Alabama vs. Texas A&M and just revealed its college football Week 6 picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine to see the model’s CFB picks. Here are the college football odds and trends for Texas A&M vs. Alabama: 

  • Alabama vs. Texas A&M spread: Alabama -18
  • Alabama vs. Texas A&M over-under: 50.5 points
  • Alabama vs. Texas A&M money line: Alabama -1000, Texas A&M +650
  • ALA: The Crimson Tide are 8-2 against the spread in their last 10 conference games
  • TAM: The Aggies are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss

Featured Game | Texas A&M Aggies vs. Alabama Crimson Tide

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Why Alabama can cover

The Crimson Tide have a solid rushing attack, led by senior Brian Robinson Jr. Robinson has carried 73 times for a team-high 379 yards (5.2 average) and six touchdowns. In last week’s 42-21 win over 12th-ranked Ole Miss, he was a workhorse, carrying 36 times for 171 yards (4.8 average) and four touchdowns. In four-plus seasons for the Tide, he has carried 347 times for 1,740 yards (5.0 average) and 21 touchdowns.

Also carrying the load is sophomore running back Jase McClellan, who has carried 40 times for 191 yards (4.8 average) and one TD. His best game was a 12-carry, 97-yard effort against Southern Miss on Sept. 25. Sophomore Roydell Williams has 24 carries for 154 yards (6.4 average) and one score. Against Southern Miss, he had 11 carries for 110 yards, including a long of 55, and one TD.

Why Texas A&M can cover

Despite that, the Crimson Tide are not a lock to cover the Alabama vs. Texas A&M spread. That’s because the Aggies had been ranked after a 3-0 start. Junior running back Isaiah Spiller has been Texas A&M’s most consistent performer on offense and ranks fifth in the SEC, averaging 90.6 yards per game. He has carried the ball 68 times for 445 yards (6.5 average) and two touchdowns. In last week’s loss to Mississippi State, he carried 16 times for 100 yards. It was his third 100-yard rushing game of the season.

Sophomore running back Devon Achane has also had a solid start to his season. In five games, he has carried 43 times for 296 yards (6.9 average) and two touchdowns. In a 41-10 season-opening win over Kent State, Achane carried 12 times for 124 yards (10.3 average) and two scores. Last week, he had eight carries for 69 yards (8.6 average), including a 41-yard run.

How to make Texas A&M vs. Alabama picks

The model likes the over, projecting that the teams will combine for 51 points. It also has generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only get the model’s picks at SportsLine

So who wins the Alabama vs. Texas A&M matchup on Saturday? And which side of the spread is hitting in well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread to back, all from the advanced model on a 12-4 run on its top-rated college football side picks, and find out.

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