Sunday, December 22, 2024

2021 MLB playoffs: Braves vs. Brewers odds, NLDS Game 3 picks, predictions from proven computer model

2021 MLB playoffs: Braves vs. Brewers odds, NLDS Game 3 picks, predictions from proven computer model

The Atlanta Braves had lost five consecutive Game 3s in the National League Division Series, a dubious stretch that began in 2003 and continued through 2013. They have won three straight such contests since, including the 2020 postseason against the Miami Marlins. Atlanta attempts to extend the winning streak and take a 2-1 lead in the best-of-five series when it hosts the Milwaukee Brewers on Monday afternoon. The Braves were edged 2-1 in the opener but left Milwaukee with a split after posting a 3-0 victory in Game 2.

First pitch at Truist Field is scheduled for 1:07 p.m. ET. Atlanta sends right-hander Ian Anderson (9-5, 3.58 ERA) to the mound against fellow right-hander Freddy Peralta (10-5, 2.81). Atlanta is the -111 favorite (risk $111 to win $100) on the money line in the latest Braves vs. Brewers odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total runs scored is eight. Before making any Brewers vs. Braves picks, be sure to see the MLB playoff predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven model.

This model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, enters the second week of the 2021 MLB playoffs with a 207-175 record on top-rated MLB money-line picks, returning well over $700. It also had a banner 2019 season, the league’s last full schedule, returning more than $1,400 on its top-rated money-line and run-line MLB picks. Anyone following it has seen some huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Brewers vs. Braves and just revealed its MLB playoff 2021 picks and analysis. You can head to SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are several MLB playoffs odds and trends for Braves vs. Brewers:

  • Braves vs. Brewers money line: Atlanta -11, Milwaukee +101
  • Braves vs. Brewers run line: Atlanta -1.5 (+175)
  • Braves vs. Brewers over-under: 8 runs
  • ATL: The Braves are 6-0 in their last six playoff games as favorites
  • MIL: The Brewers are 1-5 in their last six postseason contests as underdogs

Why you should back the Braves

Anderson is in just his second year in the major leagues but already will be making his fifth playoff start. The 23-year-old went 2-0 with a 0.96 ERA last postseason, working 15 2/3 scoreless innings over his first three turns and winning the initial two. Anderson was impressive in his only career outing against the Brewers earlier this year, recording the win after giving up just one run and two hits over six innings at Milwaukee on May 15.

Austin Riley, who led the Braves in batting average (.303), home runs (33) and RBIs (107), has been their best hitter in the series thus far. The 24-year-old third baseman has registered three of Atlanta’s 11 hits after going 2-for-4 with a solo blast in Game 2. Joc Pederson has come through as a pinch hitter with two outs in each of the first two games, belting a solo homer in the eighth inning of the opener and delivering a single in the seventh on Saturday.

Why you should back the Brewers

Milwaukee’s relief corps also has performed well through two games, giving up just one run and four hits over six innings. The Brewers were outstanding during the regular season on the road, where they posted a 50-31 record to set the franchise mark for wins away from home. Only the San Francisco Giants were better on the road, going 53-28.

The Brewers have registered only 11 hits in the series, but a pair of players have notched two apiece. Willy Adames is the only member of the club with a hit in both contests and has one of Milwaukee’s two extra-base hits (double, Game 2), while third baseman Luis Urias went 2-for-4 in Saturday’s 3-0 loss after remaining on the bench in the series opener. Rowdy Tellez, who hit seven of his 11 homers this season after being acquired from Toronto in July, has hit the Brewers’ lone shot of the NLDS — a two-run blast en route to a 2-1 victory in Game 1.

How to make Braves vs. Brewers picks

The model is leaning over on the total, projecting 8.1 combined runs. It also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get that pick at SportsLine

So who wins Brewers vs. Braves? And which side of the money line has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of Braves vs. Brewers you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed it MLB picks, and find out.  

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