Saturday, October 5, 2024

2021 MLB playoffs: Dodgers vs. Giants odds, NLDS Game 3 picks, predictions from proven computer simulation

2021 MLB playoffs: Dodgers vs. Giants odds, NLDS Game 3 picks, predictions from proven computer simulation

The San Francisco Giants edged the Los Angeles Dodgers in the regular season, winning 10 of the 19 games in the series to capture the National League West crown. San Francisco won the final three sets, taking two of three in each of the final two series. The Giants will need to repeat the feat in the best-of-five NL Division Series in order to advance, beginning with Game 3 in Los Angeles on Monday night. San Francisco received a dominant pitching performance from Logan Webb to take the NLDS opener, but the Dodgers erupted offensively in Game 2 to even the series at one victory apiece.

First pitch at Dodger Stadium is scheduled for 9:37 p.m. ET. Los Angeles sends right-hander Max Scherzer (15-4, 2.46 ERA) to the mound against former Dodgers southpaw Alex Wood (10-4, 3.83). Los Angeles is the -203 favorite (risk $203 to win $100) on the money line in the latest Dodgers vs. Giants odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total runs scored is 7.5. Before making any Giants vs. Dodgers picks, be sure to see the MLB playoff predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven model.

This model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, enters the second week of the 2021 MLB playoffs with a 207-175 record on top-rated MLB money-line picks, returning well over $700. It also had a banner 2019 season, the league’s last full schedule, returning more than $1,400 on its top-rated money-line and run-line MLB picks. Anyone following it has seen some huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Dodgers vs. Giants and revealed its MLB playoff 2021 picks and analysis. You can head to SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are several MLB playoffs odds and betting lines and trends for Giants vs. Dodgers:

  • Dodgers vs. Giants money line: Los Angeles -203, San Francisco +183
  • Dodgers vs. Giants run line: Los Angeles -1.5 (+105)
  • Dodgers vs. Giants over-under: 7.5 runs
  • LA: The Dodgers have won six of their last eight NLDS games at Dodger Stadium
  • SF: The Giants are 1-4 in their last five playoff contests as underdogs

Featured Game | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants

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Why you should back the Dodgers

Scherzer has not been his usual self of late, allowing five runs while failing to get through six innings in each of his final two regular-season starts before lasting just 4 1/3 frames against St. Louis in the NL Wild Card Game. But the three-time Cy Young Award winner has yet to lose since being acquired from Washington at the trade deadline, going 7-0 with a 1.98 ERA in 12 outings. The Dodgers have won all 12 of those games and are very familiar with Wood, who went 0-2 with a 4.76 ERA in three turns versus his former team this season.

A.J. Pollock, who matched his career high with 21 home runs in 2021, has had plenty of success against Wood. The 33-year-old left fielder has gone 10-for-25 with three doubles, two homers and three RBIs versus the left-hander and has driven in a team high-tying two runs thus far this postseason. Los Angeles is expected to field a lineup that includes three-time NL MVP Albert Pujols, who has victimized left-handers for 13 of his 17 homers this year and posted a .294 batting average and .939 OPS against them as opposed to .180 and .500, respectively, versus righties.

Why you should back the Giants

Wood is quite familiar with the Dodgers as he spent five of the previous six seasons with them before signing with San Francisco in January. The 30-year-old won the World Series with Los Angeles last year and has made 18 postseason appearances (two starts) with the club, notching his only career playoff win by tossing a scoreless 18th inning against Boston in Game 3 of the 2018 World Series. Wood has allowed only two runs over 13 innings in his last three starts and has yielded fewer than three in each of his last six turns.

The Giants, who went 12-1 when Wood started after a loss during the regular season, have been led offensively in the series by a trio of veterans. Former NL MVP Buster Posey has been the biggest contributor, going 4-for-8 with a two run homer. Kris Bryant, who also has won the NL MVP, went 3-for-3 with a solo blast in the series opener while Brandon Crawford also went deep in Game 1 before recording two hits and an RBI in Saturday’s loss.

How to make Giants vs. Dodgers picks

The model is leaning over on the total, projecting 7.8 combined runs. It also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get that pick at SportsLine

So who wins Dodgers vs. Giants? And which side of the money line has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its MLB picks, and find out.  

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