Week 7 of the 2021 NFL schedule will begin with Thursday Night Football as the Denver Broncos visit the Cleveland Browns. Melvin Gordon and Javonte Williams have essentially split the work down the middle this season for Denver, with Gordon receiving 83 touches and Williams receiving 79. Which one can you trust with your NFL prop bets for Thursday Night Football?
The latest Browns vs. Broncos NFL props from Caesars Sportsbook list the over-under for Gordon rushing yards at 40.5, while the over-under for Williams is 47.5. Meanwhile, Case Keenum will take over the Browns offense while Baker Mayfield battles a shoulder injury, and the Week 7 NFL player props list his over-under for total passing yards at 218.5. Before making any NFL prop bets for Thursday Night Football, you need to see the Browns vs. Broncos prop predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,700 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. It went a sizzling 24-14 on top-rated NFL picks last season, returning more than $800. The model also enters Week 7 of the 2021 season on an incredible 125-85 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
It can also be used to crush NFL prop picks. Last season, its NFL prop bets went 389-310, returning over $3,000.
With Broncos vs. Browns on Thursday Night Football, the model has evaluated the NFL player props from Caesars and found five strong bets. You can only see them here.
Top NFL player prop bets for Browns vs. Broncos
After simulating Broncos vs. Browns 10,000 times, the model predicts that Broncos quarterback Teddy Bridgewater will easily surpass his over-under of 229.5 total passing yards. Bridgewater won the starting job over Drew Lock during training camp and completely repositioned himself as one of the more aggressive quarterbacks in the NFL.
Bridgewater ranks third in the NFL in pass attempts more than 20 yards (32) and is third in air yards per attempt (9.6). Despite the ruthless aggression, he’s still completing 70.2 percent of his passes this season. Without Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt in the lineup, the Browns won’t be able to control the ball as efficiently as normal, and that should help Bridgewater finish with 250 passing yards on average.
SportsLine’s NFL model also says Browns quarterback Case Keenum will struggle filling in for Baker Mayfield and go under 220.5 total passing yards. The Browns’ passing game already ranked 26th with Mayfield at the helm and now will turn to a backup who won’t have nearly as much success with play-action with Chubb and Hunt out.
Keenum last started in 2019 with Washington and failed to clear 220.5 passing yards in each of his last five starts. Now, he’ll have his work cut out against a Broncos pass defense that ranks 11th in the NFL. The model predicts that Keenum throws for just 207 yards on average.
How to make NFL player prop bets for Broncos vs. Browns
In addition, the model says another star easily surpasses his yardage total and has a plus-money prop payout you’ll want to jump on. You need to see the model’s analysis before making any Browns vs. Broncos prop bets for Thursday.
Which Browns vs. Browcos prop bets should you back on Thursday Night Football? And which star is a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to see the top Broncos vs. Browns prop bets, all from the model that’s up almost $7,700 on top-rated NFL picks.
