Monday, October 7, 2024

Nevada vs. UNLV odds, line, spread: 2021 college football picks, Week 9 predictions from model on 26-11 run

Nevada vs. UNLV odds, line, spread: 2021 college football picks, Week 9 predictions from model on 26-11 run

The Nevada Wolf Pack and UNLV Rebels renew their bitter rivalry when the teams collide on Friday at Mackay Stadium in Reno, Nev. The teams will be meeting for the 47th time. The Wolf Pack lead the series, 27-19, and won last year, 37-19, in Las Vegas. This season Nevada (5-2, 2-1 in Mountain West Conference) enters the game coming off a 34-32 loss at Fresno State. Meanwhile UNLV (0-7, 0-3), which lost last week to San Jose State, is on a 13-game losing streak and is looking for its first win since beating the Wolf Pack two years ago. 

Kickoff is 10 p.m. ET on CBS Sports Network. The Wolf Pack are 20.5-point favorites in the latest Nevada vs. UNLV odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 58. Before making any UNLV vs. Nevada picks, be sure to see the college football predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,900 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 9 of the 2021 season on a 26-11 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now the model has dialed in on Nevada vs. UNLV and just revealed its coveted picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see all of the model’s CFB picks. Now, here are the college football odds and trends for UNLV vs. Nevada:  

  • Nevada vs. UNLV spread: Wolf Pack -20.5 
  • Nevada vs. UNLV over-under: 58 points 
  • Nevada vs. UNLV money line: Wolf Pack -1600, Rebels +850 
  • NEV: The Wolf Pack rank third in the country in passing yards per game (379.4) 
  • UNLV: RB Charles Williams averages 102.7 rushing yards per game this season, which is second in the conference

Featured Game | Nevada Wolf Pack vs. UNLV Rebels

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Why the Wolf Pack can cover

Nevada has one of the best passing offenses in the country. Led by quarterback Carson Strong, the Wolf Pack average 379.4 passing yards per game, which leads the Mountain West and ranks third in the country. In their last game they threw for 476 yards and four touchdowns against Fresno State. On Friday Nevada faces a UNLV defense that has struggled against the pass this season, allowing 287.1 yards per game, which ranks 123rd in the country.

In addition, the Rebels defense has struggled getting penetration. UNLV averages just 2.6 tackles for loss per game; only one team in the country averages fewer. Also, the Rebels average just 1.0 sacks per game, which is 124th in the nation.

Why the Rebels can cover

UNLV has one of the best running backs in the conference in Charles Williams. A 5-foot-9 super senior from Fresno, Calif., Williams averages 102.7 rushing yards per game this season, which is second in the Mountain West and 20th in the FBS. In his last two games against Nevada, Williams has averaged 118.5 rushing yards a game and 6.1 yards per rush.

In addition the Rebels’ record isn’t entirely indicative of how they’ve played. Though the team is winless in seven games, five of those losses — including the last four — have been by one score. In the last two weeks the Rebels led entering the fourth quarter only to lose.

How to make Nevada vs. UNLV picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 63 points. It also has an against-the-spread pick that cashes in almost 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the model’s UNLV vs. Nevada pick at SportsLine.

So who wins UNLV vs. Nevada? And which side is covering almost 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Nevada vs. UNLV spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is on a 26-11 run on top-rated picks, and find out.

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