The Alabama Crimson Tide, ranked second in the initial College Football Playoff ranking, look to build on their resume when they take on the LSU Tigers in a key SEC West matchup on Saturday. The Crimson Tide (7-1, 4-1), who have won two straight since being upset by Texas A&M 41-38 on Oct. 9, are looking for their second straight division title and seventh crown since 2009. They are also looking to stay in the mix for their second consecutive national championship and sixth title in 13 years. LSU (4-4, 2-3), who are sixth in the SEC West, have lost three of four.
Kickoff from Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa, Ala., is set for 7 p.m. ET. Alabama leads the all-time series 54-26-5, including a 13-8 edge in games played in Tuscaloosa. The Crimson Tide are 28.5-point favorites in the latest LSU vs. Alabama odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is set at 66.5. Before making any Alabama vs. LSU picks, make sure you check out the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,700 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 10 of the 2021 season on a 28-15 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Alabama vs. LSU and just revealed its coveted CFB picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are the college football odds and betting lines for LSU vs. Alabama:
- LSU vs. Alabama spread: Alabama -28.5
- LSU vs. Alabama over-under: 66.5 points
- LSU vs. Alabama money line: LSU +2000, Alabama -10000
- LSU: The Tigers are 11-3 against the spread in their last 14 games following an ATS loss
- ALA: The Crimson Tide are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite
Featured Game | Alabama Crimson Tide vs. LSU Tigers
Why Alabama can cover
The Crimson Tide have rolled to blowout wins over the Tigers in two of the past three seasons, including a 55-17 win last year in Baton Rouge, La. Sophomore quarterback Bryce Young powers the Alabama offense and leads the team in passing. He has completed 187 of 267 passes (70 percent) for 2,453 yards and 26 touchdowns. He has been intercepted three times and has a rating of 177.1. Young has also rushed for two scores. Prior to last week’s bye, he was 31-for-43 (72.1 percent) for 371 yards and two touchdowns against Tennessee. He also carried 10 times for 42 yards and two TDs.
Junior wide receiver Jameson Williams is also having a solid season with 35 receptions for a team-high 710 yards (20.3 average) and six touchdowns. His best game was a 10-catch, 146-yard and two TD performance against Texas A&M. In the Tide’s last game against Tennessee, he had six receptions for 123 yards. He is the first Alabama receiver since Amari Cooper in 2014 with at least three 70-plus yard receptions in a single season.
Why LSU can cover
Despite that, the Crimson Tide are not a lock to cover the LSU vs. Alabama spread. That’s because the Tigers have had success against Nick Saban-coached teams, winning five times in 16 tries, including a 46-41 win in 2019. Sophomore quarterback Max Johnson runs the LSU offense, and has completed 162 of 264 passes (61.4 percent) for 2,009 yards and 20 touchdowns. He has been picked off five times and has a rating of 146.5.
Since losing his top target — sophomore wide receiver Kayshon Boutte — to a leg injury, senior wide receiver Jaray Jenkins has stepped up his play. He was the leading receiver against both Florida and Ole Miss and combined for eight catches for 102 yards in those two games. He had four catches for a team-high 52 yards against Ole Miss, and a career-best three touchdowns in the 49-42 win over the 20th-ranked Gators. In eight games this year, Jenkins has 18 receptions for 222 yards and three scores.
How to make LSU vs. Alabama picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the point total, projecting 73 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only get the model’s pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Alabama vs. LSU? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.
