Sunday, October 27, 2024

Optimal NFL football knockout, survivor pool picks, strategy, advice for Week 10, 2021: Fade the Cowboys

Optimal NFL football knockout, survivor pool picks, strategy, advice for Week 10, 2021: Fade the Cowboys

The Buffalo Bills looked like they were the class of the AFC after they followed a season-opening loss to Pittsburgh with four consecutive dominant victories. However, they’ve lost two of their last three games, including last week as double-digit favorites at Jacksonville. Buffalo will try to take out its frustration on an AFC East rival when it visits the New York Jets on Sunday. The Bills are 13-point favorites in the latest Week 10 odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and many will jump on them with their NFL survivor pool picks.

Other favorites that could attract attention for NFL knockout pool picks include the Indianapolis Colts (-10.5 against the Jacksonville Jaguars), Arizona Cardinals (-10 against the Carolina Panthers) and Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-9.5 against the Washington Football Team). Before making any Week 10 NFL survivor picks, you need to see which team the red-hot SportsLine Projection Model just went all-in on.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,600 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters Week 10 of the 2021 season on an incredible 128-88 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

It also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

The model can be used to crush the survivor pool format, as the team winning the most model simulations each week is 8-1. The 49ers in Week 1 (75 percent), Buccaneers in Week 2 (79 percent), Cardinals and Ravens in Week 3 (79 percent), Bills in Week 4 (87 percent), Patriots in Week 5 (78 percent), Colts in Week 6 (81 percent), Cards in Week 7 (84 percent) and Rams in Week 8 (91 percent) were winners for survivor contestants who used those teams over the first eight weeks. You can only see who the model is backing in Week 10 at SportsLine.

Top Week 10 NFL survivor pool predictions

For Week 10, the model is shying away from the Dallas Cowboys against the Atlanta Falcons. By winning three of their last four games, the Falcons (4-4) find themselves in the thick of the NFL playoff picture. Fresh off an upset victory at New Orleans, they will be filled with confidence as they attempt to atone for last year’s 40-39 loss at Dallas in which they suffered one of the worst meltdowns in recent memory.

Atlanta also will try to take advantage of a Cowboys team that had its six-game winning streak halted last week, when it was soundly defeated at home by Denver, 30-16. Two-time NFL rushing leader Ezekiel Elliott has not been very effective over the last three weeks, finishing with fewer than 70 yards in each contest, and was limited against the Broncos after suffering a knee injury in the opening quarter. Even though the Cowboys own a 4-1 record against conference rivals, the Falcons are too dangerous for the model’s projections this week.

How to make Week 10 NFL survivor pool picks

Instead, the model is backing a team that’s thriving on the road this season. Picking this team not only will get you to Week 11, it also will put you in the optimal position to go deep in your NFL survivor pool. The time to pick this team is now, and you can only see the Week 10 play over at SportsLine.

Which surprising team is a must-back in your Week 10 survivor pool? Visit SportsLine now to see which team carries you to victory in Week 10, all from the advanced computer model that consistently crushes the NFL, and find out.

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