The Toledo Rockets aim for a bounce-back victory in the team’s 10th contest of the 2021 college football season. Toledo is 4-5 overall and 2-3 in conference play, though the Rockets lost narrowly to Eastern Michigan last week. This week, the Rockets face the Bowling Green Falcons in a MACtion matchup on Wednesday. Bowling Green is 3-6 overall and 1-4 in conference games.
Kickoff is at 7 p.m. ET on CBS Sports Network. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Rockets as 10.5-point favorites, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 50 in the latest Toledo vs. Bowling Green odds. Before locking in any Bowling Green vs. Toledo picks or MACtion bets, make sure you check out the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 11 of the 2021 season on a 31-20 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has locked in on Toledo vs. Bowling Green and just released its coveted MACtion picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine to see the model’s picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Bowling Green vs. Toledo:
- Toledo vs. Bowling Green spread: Toledo -10.5
- Toledo vs. Bowling Green over-under: 50 points
- Toledo vs. Bowling Green money line: Toledo -420, BG +320
- TOL: The Rockets are 5-4 against the spread in 2021
- BG: The Falcons are 7-2 against the spread this season
Featured Game | Bowling Green Falcons vs. Toledo Rockets
Why Toledo can cover
Toledo is putting up more than 30 points per game on offense, but the Rockets have a juicy matchup on the defensive side against Bowling Green. Toledo’s defense is arguably the best in the MAC, giving up 22 points per game to lead the conference. The Rockets are also a top-four team in total defense, pass defense and rush defense when compared to MAC competition. Toledo is No. 2 in the MAC in completion rate allowed (56.8 percent) and No. 1 in the conference in allowing 6.6 yards per pass attempt.
The Rockets are also leading the MAC in yards per carry allowed (3.6) and rushing touchdowns allowed (seven), with Bowling Green struggling on offense. The Falcons are dead-last in the MAC in total offense, averaging 333.7 yards per game, and Bowling Green is last in the conference in rushing offense, averaging 95 yards per contest. Bowling Green is also worst in the MAC on third down, converting on only 32.8 percent of opportunities this season.
Why Bowling Green can cover
Bowling Green’s offense has struggled at times this season, but there are strengths for the Falcons on that side of the ball. Bowling Green exploded for 56 points last week and, in the last five games, the Falcons are averaging 29.2 points per contest. Quarterback Matt McDonald ranks No. 3 in the MAC with 2,127 passing yards this season, and Bowling Green has three pass-catchers with at least 360 receiving yards.
On defense, Bowling Green leads the MAC in passing resistance, giving up only 181.6 passing yards per game. The Falcons are also a top-tier passing defense in completion rate allowed (58.6 percent), yards per pass attempts allowed (6.8), interceptions (eight), touchdown passes allowed (10) and sacks (23).
How to make Bowling Green vs. Toledo picks
The model is leaning over on the total, projecting 55 combined points. It also says one side of the spread hits over 50 percent of the time. You can only get the model’s MACtion picks at SportsLine.
So who wins Toledo vs. Bowling Green? And which side of the spread is hitting over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread to back Wednesday, all from the advanced model on a 31-20 run on its top-rated college football side picks, and find out.
