In-state rivals clash in non-conference action on Sunday when the No. 20 Florida State Seminoles battle the Florida Gators. The Seminoles (1-0), who opened their season with a 105-70 win over Penn on Wednesday, finished second in the Atlantic Coast Conference last season, going 18-7 overall and 11-4 in conference play. The Gators (1-0), who defeated Elon 74-61 on Tuesday, placed fifth in the Southeastern Conference in 2020-21 with a 15-10 overall and 9-7 SEC mark. Florida is 7-3 at home since the start of last season.
Tip-off from O’Connell Center in Gainesville, Fla., is set for 1 p.m. ET. Florida leads the all-time series 43-29, but Florida State has won the previous seven matchups. The Seminoles are one-point favorites in the latest Florida State vs. Florida odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is set at 145. Before making any Florida State vs. Florida picks, be sure to see the college basketball predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Div. I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of $2,200 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Florida vs. Florida State and locked in its picks and CBB predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are the college basketball lines and trends for Florida State vs. Florida:
- Florida vs. Florida State spread: FSU -1
- Florida vs. Florida State over-under: 145 points
- Florida vs. Florida State money line: FSU -115, UF -105
- FLA: The over is 4-1 in the Gators’ last five vs. a team with a winning straight up record
- FSU: The Seminoles are 15-5-2 against the spread in their last 22 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game
Featured Game | Florida Gators vs. Florida State Seminoles
Why Florida can cover
The Gators have 18 wins over AP Top 25 teams under coach Mike White, with six of those coming on their home court. Senior forward Colin Castleton helped power the Gators in the season-opening win, scoring 18 points, while grabbing five rebounds and dishing out four assists. Castleton was a second-team all-SEC selection by conference coaches in 2020-21, as well as a two-time SEC Player of the Week.
Graduate transfer guard Myreon Jones also scored 18 points against Elon, while grabbing six rebounds and dishing out three assists. Jones was a two-time All-Big Ten Conference honorable mention selection at Penn State, where he had 11 games with four or more 3-pointers made. Jones is considered one of the Gators’ top 3-point threats, making 138 of 364 attempts (37.9 percent) in 81 career games, including 49 starts. Last season at Penn State, he averaged 15.3 points per game.
Why Florida State can cover
The Seminoles are 11-8 against the Gators under coach Leonard Hamilton. Senior forward Malik Osborne is off to a fast start to the season, scoring 18 points and grabbing 13 rebounds in just 23 minutes in the season opener. It was his fourth career double-double. His best game against the Gators was a 10-point, four-rebound effort in 2019-20. Osborne scored 11 points, grabbed five rebounds and had one steal off the bench in Florida State’s NCAA Tournament win over Colorado last season.
Red-shirt senior guard Anthony Polite poured in 17 points, while grabbing six rebounds against Penn, connecting on 55.6 percent of his field goals, including 75 percent from 3-point range. Last season, Polite had a number of highlights, including a career-high 22 points against Colorado in the NCAA Tournament. He also scored 15 points and had a career-high nine rebounds in a win over Gardner-Webb.
How to make Florida State vs. Florida picks
The model is leaning over on the total, projecting 146 combined points. It also has generated an against-the-spread pick that cashes in over 50 percent of simulations. You can get the model’s pick only at SportsLine.
So who wins Florida vs. Florida State? And which side of the spread hits over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that has returned more than $2,200 on its college basketball picks the last four years, and find out.
