The Chiefs have been able to recover from a disastrous start to the season, winning their last three games to take the lead in the AFC West. The Chiefs will play in what might be the highest-scoring game of the Week 11 NFL schedule when they host Dallas on Sunday. Kansas City is a 2.5-point favorite in the latest Week 11 NFL odds at Caesars Sportsbook. The Cowboys have been the best team to wager on this season, covering the spread in eight of their nine games. Can they do it again against one of the tightest NFL spreads of the week?
Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott leads an offense that ranks first in the NFL, but Kansas City’s defense has been playing much better of late, so which unit should you trust? All of the Week 11 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine’s advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and predictions you need to make the best Week 11 NFL picks now.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,500 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters Week 11 of the 2021 season on an incredible 128-89 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 11 NFL odds and locked in picks for every NFL matchup. Head here to see every pick.
Top Week 11 NFL predictions
One of the model’s strongest Week 11 NFL picks is that the Titans (-10) cover the spread against the Texans with points to spare. The Titans have been the hottest team in the NFL over the past month, bringing a six-game winning streak into this contest. They have not missed a beat since losing star running back Derrick Henry to a foot injury. Tennessee barely failed to cover the spread in a 23-21 win over New Orleans last Sunday, but had covered its previous five games.
Wide receiver Marcus Johnson caught five passes for 100 yards, bursting onto the scene after catching just four passes the rest of the season. The Titans face a Houston defense that ranks No. 29 in scoring defense and No. 30 in total defense. Quarterback Ryan Tannehill has completed 66.5 percent of his passes and should have plenty of success on Sunday.
SportsLine’s model projects Tannehill to throw for more than 285 yards and two touchdowns. Tennessee is covering the spread in well over 60 percent of simulations.
Another one of its Week 11 NFL predictions: The Steelers (+6) cover against the Chargers. Pittsburgh was unable to extend its winning streak to five games last week, as its game against Detroit ended in a 16-16 tie. The Steelers were without veteran quarterback Ben Roethlisberger following a positive COVID-19 test, but he’s slated to return on Sunday Night Football.
The Chargers have allowed at least 24 points in their last five games. SportsLine’s model expects Pittsburgh running back Najee Harris to come close to 100 rushing yards, which is one reason why the Steelers cover the spread in almost 60 percent of simulations.
How to make Week 11 NFL picks
The model has also made the call on who wins and covers in every other game on the Week 11 NFL schedule, and it’s calling for a Super Bowl contender to go down hard. You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine.
So which NFL picks can you make with confidence, and which Super Bowl contender goes down hard? Check out the latest NFL odds below, then visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned almost $7,500 since its inception, and find out.
Week 11 NFL odds, spreads, lines
Sunday, Nov. 21
Featured Game | Cleveland Browns vs. Detroit Lions
Featured Game | Jacksonville Jaguars vs. San Francisco 49ers
Featured Game | Buffalo Bills vs. Indianapolis Colts
Featured Game | New York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins
Washington Football Team at Panthers (-3.5, 43)
Featured Game | Carolina Panthers vs. Washington Football Team
Featured Game | Chicago Bears vs. Baltimore Ravens
Featured Game | Philadelphia Eagles vs. New Orleans Saints
Texans at Titans (-10, 44.5)
Featured Game | Tennessee Titans vs. Houston Texans
Featured Game | Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers
Featured Game | Las Vegas Raiders vs. Cincinnati Bengals
Cowboys at Chiefs (-2.5, 56.5)
Featured Game | Kansas City Chiefs vs. Dallas Cowboys
Steelers at Chargers (-6, 47)
Featured Game | Los Angeles Chargers vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Monday, Nov. 22
Giants at Buccaneers (-11, 49.5)
Featured Game | Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New York Giants
