The Los Angeles Rams (7-3) looked like Super Bowl contenders, but have lost two straight contests ahead of Week 12. Life won’t get any easier for them on Sunday, when they’ll take on the NFC North-leading Green Bay Packers (8-3) at Lambeau Field. Green Bay fell short against the Minnesota Vikings on a game-winning field goal but can rally behind a perfect 4-0 home record.
Kickoff is set for 4:25 p.m. ET. Los Angeles is favored by 1.5 points in the latest Packers vs. Rams odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is 47. Before locking in your Rams vs. Packers picks, make sure you check out the NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,300 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters Week 12 of the 2021 season on an incredible 130-91 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has simulated Rams vs. Packers 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NFL picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see them. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Rams vs. Packers:
- Rams vs. Packers spread: Rams -1.5
- Rams vs. Packers over-under: 47 points
- Rams vs. Packers money line: Packers +105, Rams -125
- LAR: Rams are 4-1 straight-up in their last five road games
- GB: Packers are 10-1 straight-up in their last 11 home games
Why the Rams can cover
Los Angeles has one of the NFL’s most well-rounded defenses and added talent in recent weeks. Linebackers Von Miller joined the Rams via trade and can help improve a unit led by Aaron Donald and Jalen Ramsey. Aaron Rodgers tallied season-high 385 passing yards with four touchdowns last week, but it won’t be easy to replicate those numbers against an elite secondary.
Los Angeles has given up fewer than 190 passing yards in two consecutive games. The Rams have given up the second-fewest passing touchdowns (12) in the NFL, so Aaron Rodgers and Davante Adams could have a tough time moving the chains. Green Bay’s Aaron Jones is dealing with a knee injury that held him out of Week 11, and the visitors could be even more dependent on their aerial attack if he misses more time. A.J. Dillon doesn’t have the same pass-catching ability, and a limited Packers offense benefits the away team.
Why the Packers can cover
Green Bay is 9-2 against the spread and has covered more than any team in the league. The Packers are 4-0 against the spread at home and have won every game at Lambeau by double-digits. The Rams are 4-1 straight-up on the road, but just 2-3 against the spread.
Los Angeles has lost its last two games by an average of 16.5 points. Matthew Stafford threw two touchdowns and four interceptions during that span, and the Rams’ receiving corps is struggling. While Cooper Kupp is a reliable option, Odell Beckham Jr. is still learning the offense. Robert Woods‘ season-ending ACL tear has put the Rams in a tough spot. Green Bay’s defense gives up the seventh-fewest passing yards (213.2) despite not having star cornerback Jaire Alexander. If the Rams’ offensive chemistry doesn’t improve, Green Bay could move to 5-0 against the spread and straight-up at home.
How to make Rams vs. Packers picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning under the total, projecting the teams to combine for 44 points. The model also says one side of the spread cashes in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the model’s Packers vs. Rams picks at SportsLine.
So who wins Rams vs. Packers? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Packers vs. Rams spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up almost $7,500 on its NFL picks, and find out.
