NFL odds, lines, picks, spreads, best bets, predictions for Week 13, 2021: Model high on Colts, Broncos

Entering the Week 13 NFL schedule, the Baltimore Ravens are trying to solidify a spot in the NFL playoff picture. In their last three games, the Ravens have lost to the 5-7 Dolphins, beat the Bears by three points without Lamar Jackson, and gutted out a 16-10 win over the Browns. In the Week 13 NFL odds at Caesars Sportsbook, Baltimore is favored by 4.5 points against the Steelers.

In another AFC rivalry game, the Bills are 2.5-point favorites against the Patriots in the NFL spreads. Which of these divisional matchups should you target with your NFL bets? All of the Week 13 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine’s advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and predictions you need to make the best Week 13 NFL picks now.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,100 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters Week 13 of the 2021 season on an incredible 131-94 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 13 NFL odds and locked in picks for every NFL matchup. Head here to see every pick.

Top Week 13 NFL predictions

One of the model’s strongest Week 13 NFL picks is that the Colts (-9) cover the spread against the Texans with points to spare. While Houston is still slogging through a woeful season, the Colts have been trucking along after losing their first three games. Bolstered by running back Jonathan Taylor, they’ve gone 6-3 since then, with two of those losses coming in overtime. SportsLine’s model projects Taylor to eclipse the 100-yard mark in another big game on Sunday in a win.

SportsLine’s simulations have the Colts winning and covering the spread in well over 60 percent of simulations, making them a top pick for the Sunday slate. The model also has the under (45.5) hitting in well over 50 percent of simulations.

Another one of the model’s Week 13 NFL predictions: The Broncos (+9.5) cover against the Chiefs at Arrowhead. Kansas City is coming off a bye, while the Broncos are coming off an impressive win against the Chargers in which L.A. was limited to just 13 points. Denver is allowing only 17.8 points per game this season, the third-best mark in the league. Meanwhile, the Chiefs have struggled against elite defenses like what Denver possesses, as Patrick Mahomes and company are 0-3 against the spread versus teams that allow under 21 points per game.

The Chiefs also have a tendency to get lax at times while playing at home, as they are 1-5 against the spread at Arrowhead Stadium. They’ve averaged two turnovers per game at home and Mahomes hasn’t lit up the Broncos over his career. He’s thrown just 10 touchdowns across seven starts against Denver, and the model projects modest numbers due to Denver’s running game controlling the ball. The Broncos are expected to top 130 yards on the ground, keeping Kansas City’s explosive offense on the sideline.

SportsLine’s model has Denver covering well over 50 percent of the time. With Denver’s rushing attack eating up the clock, the model also says the Under (47) hits in well over 50 percent of simulations.

How to make Week 13 NFL picks

The model has also made the call on who wins and covers in every other game on the Week 13 NFL schedule, and it’s calling for a Super Bowl contender to go down hard. You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine.

So which NFL picks can you make with confidence, and which Super Bowl contender goes down hard? Check out the latest NFL odds below, then visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned almost $7,100 since its inception, and find out.

Week 13 NFL odds, spreads, lines

Thursday, Dec. 2

Cowboys at Saints (+4.5 47.5)

Sunday, Dec. 5

Vikings at Lions (+7, 46.5)

Cardinals at Bears (+8, 45.5)

Buccaneers at Falcons (+11, 50.5)

Colts at Texans (+9, 45.5)

Eagles at Jets (+7, 45.5)

Chargers at Bengals (-3, 50.5)

Giants at Dolphins (-4, 40.5)

Washington at Raiders (-2.5, 49.5)

Jaguars at Rams (-13, 47.5)

Ravens at Steelers (+4.5, 44)

49ers at Seahawks (+3, 45.5)

Broncos at Chiefs (-9.5, 47)

Monday, Dec. 6

Patriots at Bills (-2.5, 43.5)