Two teams coming off Thanksgiving Day losses will meet on Thursday Night Football as the Saints (5-6) host the Cowboys (7-4). Dallas has lost three of four and is dealing with injuries and absences, including head coach Mike McCarthy (COVID-19), who will not be in attendance. New Orleans has lost four straight, and another defeat would be the Saints’ longest ever losing streak under Sean Payton. Various key players who missed last Thursday’s games are hoping to return, including Amari Cooper and CeeDee Lamb for Dallas, as well as Mark Ingram for New Orleans.
Kickoff from Caesars Superdome is set for 8:20 p.m. ET. Dallas is favored by six points in the latest Saints vs. Cowboys odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is 46. Before you lock in any Cowboys vs. Saints picks, be sure to check out the NFL predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,100 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters Week 13 of the 2021 season on an incredible 131-94 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has simulated Cowboys vs. Saints 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NFL picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Cowboys vs. Saints:
- Saints vs. Cowboys spread: Dallas -6
- Saints vs. Cowboys over-under: 46 points
- Saints vs. Cowboys money line: Dallas -250, Saints +205
- DAL: Cowboys have covered six straight games against NFC opponents
- NO: Under is 9-1-1 in Saints’ last 11 Thursday games
Featured Game | New Orleans Saints vs. Dallas Cowboys
Why the Cowboys can cover
Dallas has several young studs on the defensive side of the ball. Rookie linebacker Micah Parsons has been a monster this season and is second on the team with 67 total tackles while securing a team-high 15 tackles for loss. Parsons is also first among rookies with nine sacks on the year. The Penn State product has logged a sack in four consecutive games.
Cornerback Trevon Diggs has been a ball hawk for the defense. He leads the NFL with eight interceptions and is tied for second with 13 pass deflections. The Alabama product snagged an interception in the first six games of the season. Diggs and Parsons have flashed plenty of big-play ability for Dallas and will try to continue their standout campaigns on Thursday Night Football against Taysom Hill and the Saints.
Why the Saints can cover
After stagnant play from the offense, the Saints appear ready to turn to Taysom Hill under center after he took first-team practice reps ahead of Trevor Siemian. Hill’s presence would make New Orleans multi-dimensional on offense after defenses loaded the box to shut down the run game. The Saints won three of the four games Hill started at QB last season and went 3-1 against the spread.
The Saints’ defense will also benefit from not being put in precarious positions by a struggling offense, and that side of the ball has been the strongest unit for New Orleans all year. Defensive end Marcus Davenport has 4.5 sacks over the last three games and will go up against a backup offensive tackle after Terence Steele was placed on the COVID-19 list. Dak Prescott has been taken down six times over the last two games, so Davenport and Cameron Jordan could wreak havoc in Dallas’ backfield.
How to make Cowboys vs. Saints picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 47 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in nearly 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the model’s Cowboys vs. Saints pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Cowboys vs. Saints on Thursday Night Football? And which side of the spread hits almost 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Cowboys vs. Saints spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up over $7,900 on its NFL picks, and find out.
