The Brooklyn Nets visit the Dallas Mavericks for a cross-conference matchup on Tuesday. The Nets are 16-7 overall and an impressive 8-2 on the road this season. The Mavericks are 11-11 overall and 6-5 in their home building. Luka Doncic (thumb) and Tim Hardaway Jr. (knee) are listed as questionable for Dallas. Kyrie Irving (not with team) and Joe Harris (ankle) remain sidelined for Brooklyn.
Tipoff is at 7:30 p.m. ET in Dallas. Brooklyn is listed as a 2.5-point road favorite, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 215.5 in the latest Nets vs. Mavericks odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Before making any Mavericks vs. Nets picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 8 of the 2021-22 NBA season up almost $2,000 on all top-rated NBA picks this season. It’s also on a stunning 121-78 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread that dates back to last season. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Nets vs. Mavs and just locked in its NBA picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine to see the model’s picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting trends for Mavs vs. Nets.
- Nets vs. Mavericks spread: Nets -2.5
- Nets vs. Mavericks over-under: 215.5 points
- BKN: The Nets are 8-14-1 against the spread in 2021-22
- DAL: The Mavericks are 9-13 against the spread this season
Why the Nets can cover
Brooklyn’s defense is playing quite well to begin the season. The Nets are allowing only 105.6 points per 100 possessions, a top-six mark in the NBA, and opponents are shooting just 42.9 percent from the floor against Brooklyn. The Nets lead the league in 3-point defense, allowing teams to shoot just 30.9 percent against them, and Brooklyn is in the top five in limiting assists (21.9 per game). Brooklyn’s transition defense has been stellar, allowing only 12.9 fast-break points per game, and the Mavericks are No. 25 in the NBA in free-throw creation on offense.
On the other end, the Nets have two superstar creators in Kevin Durant and James Harden, and Brooklyn is in the top eight of the NBA in shooting efficiency. The Nets create free-throw attempts (21.7 per game) at a high level, and Brooklyn is a good passing team, averaging 25.5 assists per night. With above-average ball security and a Mavericks defense that is near the bottom of the league in limiting opponent shooting efficiency, Brooklyn is in a favorable position on offense.
Why the Mavericks can cover
Ball security is paramount for the Mavericks, and that allows Jason Kidd’s team to flourish and maximize possessions. Dallas is No. 3 in the NBA in turnovers, committing only 12.3 giveaways per game. The Mavericks are also elite at avoiding live-ball turnovers, with opponents generating a league-low 6.5 steals per game against Dallas. The Mavericks are averaging 1.83 assists for every turnover, a top-eight mark in the NBA, and Dallas is connecting on 13.0 3-pointers per game. Brooklyn is No. 25 in the NBA in turnover creation and No. 22 in the NBA in defensive rebound rate.
On the opposite side, the Mavericks are very good at limiting free-throw attempts, with opponents taking only 19.1 shots per game at the charity stripe. Dallas is also above-average on the defensive glass, pulling down 73.5 percent of available rebounds after forcing a missed shot. Brooklyn is dead-last in the NBA in offensive rebound rate (22.6 percent), and second-chance points should be at a premium for the Nets.
How to make Mavericks vs. Nets picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, with the teams projected to combine for 224 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Nets vs. Mavs? And which side of the spread hits in 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.
