The Chicago Bears will look to rekindle their Lambeau Field success when they take on the Green Bay Packers on Sunday Night Football. The Bears (4-8), who have dropped five consecutive games to the Packers (9-3), have won eight times in Green Bay since 1999, although the last time was in 2015. The Packers, who have won 10 of the past 11 matchups with Chicago, are 13-2 against NFC North opponents since the start of 2019. Green Bay is 19-2 at home since Matt LaFleur was named head coach that same year.
Kickoff from Green Bay is set for 8:20 p.m. ET. The Packers are averaging 23.6 points per game, 15th-best in the NFL, while the Bears average 16.8, 30th-best. Green Bay is favored by 11.5 points in the latest Bears vs. Packers odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 43. Before making your Packers vs. Bears picks, make sure to check out the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,200 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters Week 14 of the 2021 season on an incredible 132-94 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has simulated Bears vs. Packers 10,000 times and just revealed its NFL expert picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Now, here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Bears vs. Packers:
- Bears vs. Packers spread: Packers -11.5
- Bears vs. Packers over-under: 43 points
- Bears vs. Packers money line: Chicago +475, Green Bay -700
- CHI: Bears are 5-0 against the spread in their last five games in Week 14
- GB: Packers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as home favorites
Featured Game | Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears
Why the Packers can cover
Wide receiver Davante Adams has been a force on offense and leads the team with 80 receptions for 1,083 yards (13.5 average) and five touchdowns. He has been explosive as well with 16 plays of 20 or more yards, and Adams has also converted 53 first downs. In a Week 12 win over the Los Angeles Rams, Adams, who has been limited in practice this week with a hamstring issue, caught eight passes for 104 yards (13 average). It was his fifth 100-yard receiving game of the season while his best outing was an 11-catch, 206-yard and one touchdown game at Cincinnati on Oct. 10.
Defensively, linebacker De’Vondre Campbell has been a beast as he leads the Packers in tackles with 99, including 69 solo. He has also registered one sack for four yards and has four tackles for loss. Campbell has also been disruptive in the passing game, knocking down four passes, while picking off two. His best game this season was a 14-tackle performance against the Washington Football Team, making 11 solo stops and forcing two fumbles.
Why the Bears can cover
Chicago’s defense remains formidable, and is ranked ninth in yards allowed at 327.9. Among those leading the way is linebacker Roquan Smith, who led the Bears with eight tackles and one tackle for loss last week. He was a beast in the last meeting with Green Bay, registering 12 tackles in Week 6 and will be looking for his sixth game in a row on Sunday Night Football with five or more tackles. He has 121 tackles this season, including 74 solo, the fourth consecutive season he has reached 100 or more tackles. Smith has three sacks for 25 yards, has nine tackles for loss and has one interception he returned 53 yards for a touchdown.
Also bringing the pressure to opposing quarterbacks is linebacker Robert Quinn, who had two tackles for loss last week. He has 11 sacks in 2021, the fifth time in his career he has registered 10 or more sacks. He is looking for his third road game in a row with a sack, and has 4.5 sacks in five career games on Sunday Night Football. For the season, Quinn has 39 tackles, including 32 solo and he also has forced two fumbles.
How to make Bears vs. Packers picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning over the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 45 points. It also says one side of the spread cashes in over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the model’s Packers vs. Bears picks at SportsLine.
So who wins Packers vs. Bears on Sunday Night Football? And which side of the spread cashes in over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Packers vs. Bears spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that returned nearly $7,200 on its NFL picks, and find out.
