Coming off the first national championship in school history, the 10th-ranked Baylor Bears began the 2021-22 season with 15 consecutive victories. They endured a stretch during which they lost five of 11 but appear to be back on track after defeating Kansas by 10 points in their last outing for their third straight win. The Bears (24-5, 12-4) look to continue their surge when they visit the No. 20 Texas Longhorns (21-8, 10-6) for a Big 12 Conference showdown on Monday. Baylor guard LJ Cryer (foot) is questionable for this one.
Tipoff for Texas’ final game at the Frank Erwin Center in Austin is set for 9 p.m. ET. The Bears are 1.5-point favorites in the latest Baylor vs. Texas odds at Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 135. Before locking in any Texas vs. Baylor picks, be sure to see the college basketball predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of over $1,700 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Baylor vs. Texas, and just locked in its picks and CBB predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the college basketball odds and betting lines for Texas vs. Baylor.
- Baylor vs. Texas spread: Bears -1.5
- Baylor vs. Texas over-under: 135 points
- Baylor vs. Texas money line: Bears -125, Longhorns +105
- BAY: The Bears are 13-4-1 against the spread in their last 18 games following an ATS win
- TEX: The Longhorns are 1-5 ATS in their last six contests following a straight-up victory
Why Baylor can cover
Texas owns a 163-95 advantage in the all-time series, but the Bears have won each of the last five meetings. Baylor posted an 80-63 victory at home on Feb. 12 as all five starters scored in double figures. Junior guard Adam Flagler led the way with 20 points on 8-of-11 shooting, including 4-of-5 from beyond the arc, while senior forward Flo Thamba recorded 12 points and 11 rebounds for his first and only double-double of the season.
Thamba is ready to have another strong performance as he’s coming off a career-best 18-point effort in the win over Kansas. Flagler, meanwhile, has reached double digits in points in 10 consecutive contests after scoring 13 against the Jayhawks. Senior guard James Akinjo also was solid in the first meeting of the season with Texas, registering 15 points, a game-high seven assists and six rebounds.
Why Texas can cover
The Longhorns have overcome double-digit deficits in each of their last two contests, as they trailed by 10 at West Virginia with 10 ½ minutes remaining before pulling out the victory. Timmy Allen scored a team-high 26 points on 7-of-9 shooting and grabbed 10 rebounds for his third double-double of the campaign. The senior forward recorded a total of 23 points over his previous two outings.
Texas has gone 277-59 at the Frank Erwin Center over the last 20 seasons, including a 15-2 mark in 2021-22. The team has limited 14 of its 18 opponents at home to fewer than 60 points, holding 11 of them under 53. The Longhorns have posted an 89-33 record against Baylor in games played in Austin.
How to make Baylor vs. Texas picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, projecting 140 combined points. It also says one side of the spread hits over 50 percent of the time. You can only get the model’s pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Texas vs. Baylor? And which side of the spread hits over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up over $1,700 on its college basketball picks the last five-plus years, and find out.
