The No. 6 seed Denver Nuggets go on the road to play the No. 3 seed Golden State Warriors in the first round of the 2022 NBA playoffs on Saturday evening. The Warriors ended the season on a five-game win streak. Denver went 5-3 over its final eight games. The Nuggets won the season series 3-1. Michael Porter Jr. (back) and Jamal Murray (knee) remain out indefinitely for Denver, while the Warriors list Steph Curry (foot) as probable to return after missing the last month of the regular season.
Tipoff is at 8:30 p.m. ET at Chase Center. Golden State is favored by 6.5 points in the latest Nuggets vs. Warriors odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under is 223.5. Before making any Warriors vs. Nuggets picks, be sure to see the NBA playoff 2022 predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer simulation model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters the 2022 NBA playoffs on a stunning 85-55 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning almost $2,400. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Warriors vs. Nuggets, and just locked in its picks and NBA playoff predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Nuggets vs. Warriors:
- Warriors vs. Nuggets spread: Golden State -6.5
- Warriors vs. Nuggets over-under: 223.5 points
- Warriors vs. Nuggets money line: Denver +210, Golden State -260
- DEN: Nuggets are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as a road underdog
- GS: Warriors are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall
Featured Game | Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets
Why the Warriors can cover
Curry is an elite shooter and shot creator for Golden State. The three-time NBA All-Star has sensational one-on-one moves with nearly limitless range. The eight-time All-Star averaged 25.5 points, 5.2 rebounds and 6.3 assists per game.
Guard Jordan Poole has been rock-solid this season. Poole has a nice shooting touch and attacks the lane well. The Michigan product averaged a career-high 18.5 points, 3.4 rebounds and four assists per game. Poole stepped up big-time in the absence of Curry, scoring 20-plus points in 18 of his last 20 games. On April 10, Poole finished with 22 points, four rebounds and five assists.
Why the Nuggets can cover
Center Nikola Jokic is one of the most skilled big men in the league. Jokic is an elite passer, and scorer while consistently pulling down boards. The four-time All-Star averaged 27.1 points, 13.8 rebounds and 7.9 assists per game. Jokic led the league in triple-doubles this season with 19. The 2021 NBA MVP produced five straight 30-plus point double-doubles.
Forward Aaron Gordon is an explosive and energetic force in the frontcourt. Gordon can sky over defenders for dunks and can knock down a jumper on the perimeter. The Arizona product logged 15 points and 5.9 rebounds per game. He put up 20-plus points in three of his last four games. In the season finale, Gordon finished with 22 points, five rebounds and went 3-for-5 from three.
How to make Nuggets vs. Warriors picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, projecting 219 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Warriors vs. Nuggets? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.