Point guard Steph Curry has led the Golden State Warriors with 25.9 points per game during the 2022 NBA playoffs. He will be looking to lead his team to a win in Game 1 of the NBA Finals on Thursday night at 9 p.m. ET when he faces the Boston Celtics. Curry did not score more than 20 points in either of the final two games of the Western Conference finals against Dallas, putting up just 15 points in the clinching win. He is facing a Boston defense that ranks second among playoff teams in points allowed per game (101.0).
Caesars Sportsbook lists his point total at 27.5 for Thursday night’s showdown in the latest NBA player props. Meanwhile, running mate Klay Thompson’s over-under for total points has been set at 20.5. Before making any NBA prop picks for Game 1 of the 2022 NBA Finals, you need to see the Warriors vs. Celtics prop predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters the 2022 NBA Finals on a stunning 88-59 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,200. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
With Boston vs. Golden State approaching on Thursday night (see tickets at StubHub), the model has evaluated the NBA player props and found five strong bets. You can only see them here.
Top NBA player prop bets for Celtics vs. Warriors
After simulating Game 1 of Warriors vs. Celtics 10,000 times, the model predicts that Boston small forward Jayson Tatum goes under 28.5 total points. Tatum went under this total in four of the final six games of the Eastern Conference finals, getting held to just 10 points in the third game of the series. He is averaging 27.0 points per game during the playoffs after scoring 26.9 points per game during the regular season.
Tatum is also making his first trip to the NBA Finals, so this will be a level of pressure that he has not experienced during his career. He has only gone over the total in 40 of his 93 games this season, providing some immediate value on the under in Game 1 of the NBA Finals. SportsLine’s model expects him to go under his total on Thursday’s night, as he is scoring 26.3 points in the latest simulations.
How to make NBA player prop bets for Warriors vs. Celtics
In addition, the model has a plus-money prop payout on a player’s performance you’ll want to jump on. You need to see the model’s analysis before making any Celtics vs. Warriors prop bets.
Which Warriors vs. Celtics prop bets should you back on Thursday night? And which stars are must-backs? Visit SportsLine now to see the top Celtics vs. Warriors prop picks, all from the model that’s up more than $2,200 on top-rated NBA picks.