In many cases, a late replacement opponent can remove intrigue from a pay-per-view main event. That is not the case on Saturday, when Sebastian Fundora steps in to challenge Tim Tszyu for his WBO junior middleweight title, as well as the vacant WBC belt.
Fundora received the opportunity to step into the main event when former world champion Keith Thurman was forced out of his bout with Tszyu due to injury. It’s no minor change in opponent, with the musclebound Thurman standing 5-foot-7 to Fundora’s towering 6-foot-5.
This gives Fundora a fundamental advantage in fight preparation as he is always training to fight a shorter man while Tszyu now faces a man nearly a foot taller than the man he spent a training camp preparing for.
Fundora is coming into the fight fresh off his first career loss, a stunning knockout at the hands of Brian Mendoza. Fundora had been cracked and dropped before, a product of preferring to fight on the inside despite his obvious reach advantage over every fighter he shares the ring with.
The inside-fighting style Fundora brings to the ring should make for a fan-friendly clash with Tszyu, who has proven himself a durable fighter who likes to fight on the inside and has used those tools to compile a 24-0 record and grab a world championship. If both men are willing to stand inside and exchange, the potential for them to create one of the best fights of 2024 does exist.
There are some potential extra stakes for the winner, with huge fights against the likes of former undisputed welterweight champion Terence Crawford or former unified welterweight champion Errol Spence Jr. possibly in play. Those fighters are both moving up in weight and the allure of capturing a pair of world championships at their new weight would be strong.
Tszyu vs. Fundora fight card, odds
| Favorite | Underdog | Weight class |
|---|---|---|
|
Tim Tszyu (c) -600 |
Sebastian Fundora +400 |
WBO and vacant WBC junior middleweight titles |
|
Isaac Cruz -300 |
Rolando Romero (c) +230 |
WBA junior welterweight title |
|
Julio Cesar Martinez (c) -375 |
Angelino Cordova +275 |
WBC flyweight title |
|
Erislandy Lara (c) -400 |
Michael Zerafa +300 |
WBA middleweight title |
|
Serhii Bohachuk |
Brian Mendoza |
Junior middleweight |
|
Elijah Garcia |
Kyrone Davis |
Middleweight |
Viewing information
Date: March 30 | Location: T-Mobile Arena — Las Vegas
Start time: 8 p.m. ET (Prelim stream on Prime Video at 6 p.m.)
How to watch: Amazon Prime Video PPV, PPV.com
Prediction
This fight is much closer than the odds may suggest. Fundora is a unique fighter and Tszyu has had less than two weeks to wrap his head around how to solve a totally different puzzle than Thurman presented. Between travel, cutting weight and the late nature of the replacement, has Tszyu spent a second sparring with much taller men? It seems unlikely Tszyu has done any meaningful live preparation for a completely different type of opponent.
With that in mind, the fight is going to come down to which fighter can purely apply their style in the fight. Fundora doesn’t entirely tick the boxes for skills that have troubled Tszyu in the past. With his face-first style, Fundora isn’t going to make Tszyu pay for his fairly pedestrian footwork or sit back and counterpunch to take advantage of Tszyu’s occasionally wild punches.
This is going to be a close and competitive fight and Fundora has every chance of picking up the win, especially if Tszyu can’t hurt him when they’re trading shots inside. I do believe Tszyu can hurt Fundora though and will do so enough to edge out a close decision, if not a stoppage in the late rounds. Pick: Tszyu via UD
