The Billy Napier era seemingly hangs in the balance as Florida (2-2) gets set to host in-state foe UCF (3-1) on Saturday night. Napier went into last week’s bye with a 45-28 win over Mississippi State, but he is still on one of the hottest seats in the country. UCF heads to Gainesville following a 48-21 loss to Colorado last week, as it gave up 418 total yards. Florida holds a 2-1 edge in the all-time series, winning both meetings at home.
Kickoff is set for 7:45 p.m. ET on Saturday at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium. UCF is favored by 2.5 points in the latest Florida vs. UCF odds, while the over/under is 62 points, per SportsLine consensus. Before entering any UCF vs. Florida picks, you’ll want to see the college football predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also went a sizzling 6-0 on all top-rated college football picks in Week 5. Anyone who has followed it has seen strong returns.
The model has set its sights on UCF vs. Florida. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football betting lines for the game:
- Florida vs. UCF spread: UCF -2.5
- Florida vs. UCF over/under: 62 points
- Florida vs. UCF money line: UCF -137, Florida +114
- Florida vs. UCF picks: See picks here
- Florida vs. UCF streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
Why Florida can cover
Florida seemingly has no margin for error heading into this game if the coaching staff wants to remain intact. The Gators were able to deal with that pressure their last time out, coasting to a 45-28 win at Mississippi State two weeks ago. They had an extra week to prepare for this game, while UCF is coming off a stunning blowout loss to Colorado, despite entering that game as a double-digit favorite.
Gators senior quarterback Graham Mertz is coming off his best showing of the season, completing 19 of 21 passes for 201 yards and three touchdowns against Mississippi State. Florida also finished with 26 rushing yards and two rushing touchdowns in that balanced outing. The Gators have won five of their last six games as favorites, while UCF is 1-4 in its last five October games. See which team to pick here.
Why UCF can cover
UCF is coming off a bad showing against Colorado, but the Golden Knights were impressive in their first three games of the season. They covered the spread in wins over New Hampshire and Sam Houston before taking down TCU as 2.5-point road underdogs. Arkansas transfer quarterback KJ Jefferson had 230 passing yards, three passing touchdowns and 46 rushing yards in that game.
Jefferson has 847 passing yards, 211 rushing yards and nine total touchdowns this season. Senior running back RJ Harvey provides balance for the offense, going over 125 rushing yards in three of his first four games. Florida is a team to fade right now, as the Gators have only covered the spread once in their last five games and are dealing with the controversy surrounding their coach’s job stability. See which team to pick here.
How to make Florida vs. UCF picks
The model has simulated UCF vs. Florida 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in 60% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Florida vs. UCF, and which side of the spread is hitting 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the UCF vs. Florida spread to jump on, all from the advanced computer model that’s up well over $2,000 on its top-rated college football spread picks since its inception, and find out.
