Wednesday, December 25, 2024

USF vs. San Jose State prediction, odds, line: 2024 Hawaii Bowl picks by proven college football model

USF vs. San Jose State prediction, odds, line: 2024 Hawaii Bowl picks by proven college football model

The 2024 Hawaii Bowl will take place on Tuesday and it will pit the South Florida Bulls against the San Jose State Spartans. Under former Tennessee offensive coordinator Alex Golesh, USF (6-6) is making its second bowl appearance in a row despite winning four games combined in the three seasons prior to his arrival. Meanwhile, San Jose State is 7-5 and will be making its fourth bowl appearance in five years and continuing the success of Brent Brennan in Ken Niumatalolo’s first season at the helm. USF quarterback Byrum Brown has been out since late September due to a leg injury, but Golesh hasn’t ruled him out for this game. If Brown can’t go, Bryce Archie will remain under center. 

Kickoff is set for 8 p.m. ET on Tuesday at the Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex in Honolulu. San Jose State is favored by 1.5 points in the latest USF vs. San Jose State odds via SportsLine consensus, while the over/under is up to 64.5 points, the highest on the college football bowl odds board. Before entering any San Jose State vs. USF picks or Hawaii Bowl bets, you’ll want to see the college football predictions and betting advice from the proven computer simulation model at SportsLine.

The model simulates every FBS game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a betting profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college spread football picks, and it went a profitable 43-35 on all top-rated picks this season while also nailing all four first-round College Football Playoff winners. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps has seen impressive returns.

The model has set its sights on USF vs. San Jose State in the Hawaii Bowl 2024. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several college football betting lines for the San Jose State vs. USF game:

  • USF vs. San Jose State spread: San Jose State -1.5
  • USF vs. San Jose State over/under: 64.5 points
  • USF vs. San Jose State money line: San Jose State -120, USF +100
  • USF vs. San Jose State picks: See picks at SportsLine
  • USF vs. San Jose State streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)

Why South Florida can cover

The Bulls reached bowl eligibility despite the injury to Brown and playing a difficult non-conference schedule that began with a tune up against Bethune-Cookman before road trips to Alabama and Southern Miss then finishing up with Miami (FL) visiting Raymond James Stadium. USF split those two games and the Bulls were battled tested in losses to the two powerhouses, then managed to grind out a 4-4 record in a loaded American Athletic Conference.

Golesh’s offense was humming late in the season, averaging 50 points and 565 yards over the final three weeks. Veteran running back Kelley Joiner Jr. was a big part of that success, rushing for 271 yards and four touchdowns on only 19 carries in wins over Tulsa and Charlotte late in the year. South Florida covered the spread in three of its last five outings and the over hit in five of the last six USF games. See which team to pick here

Why San Jose State can cover

When we last saw Niumatalolo leading a college football program, he was the head coach at Navy and utilized the triple-option to help lead the Midshipmen to 11 bowl games in 16 seasons at the helm. However, Niumatalolo’s offense looks entirely different at San Jose State, with the Spartans averaging 325.3 yards per game.

However, the Spartans will be without star wide receiver Nick Nash, who opted out and declared for the NFL Draft after catching 104 passes for 1,482 yards and 16 touchdowns. However, San Jose State still has Justin Lockhart to lean on after he caught 52 passes for 975 yards and five touchdowns during the regular season. See which team to pick here. 

How to make USF vs. San Jose State picks

The model has simulated SJSU vs. South Florida 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning under on the point total, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in over 60% of simulations. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.

So who wins USF vs. San Jose State in the 2024 Hawaii Bowl, and which side of the spread hits over 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up well over $2,000 on top-rated spread picks since its inception, and find out. 

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