Saturday, January 18, 2025

2025 NFL Divisional Round Fantasy football rankings, projections: Model’s prop picks, PrizePicks parlays, SGP

2025 NFL Divisional Round Fantasy football rankings, projections: Model’s prop picks, PrizePicks parlays, SGP

The 2025 NFL Playoffs will continue this weekend with the NFL Divisional Round and there are two games each on Saturday and Sunday. Chiefs vs. Texans and Lions vs. Commanders will take place on Saturday while Eagles vs. Rams and Bills vs. Ravens are both on Sunday. Playoff Fantasy football isn’t quite as popular as its regular-season counterpart but diehard fans are always trying to find a way to give themselves an even more vested interest in the games.

NFL same-game parlays and building NFL DFS lineups or betting NFL props on sites like PrizePicks can also add to the thrill of the 2025 NFL Divisional Round, and having Fantasy football rankings and projections that you can trust gives you a massive leg up. Before setting your NFL Divisional Round Fantasy football lineups or betting any player props on sites like PrizePicks, be sure to check out the NFL Divisional Round Fantasy football rankings and projections from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

When it comes to ranking players, SportsLine’s model beat human experts in Fantasy football for the past several seasons, especially when there were big differences in ranking. Over the course of a season, that could literally be the difference between winning your league or going home empty-handed.

The same model has a proven track record of providing Fantasy football tips, including being ahead of the curve on players like A.J. Brown, Jonathan Taylor, Derrick Henry, Christian McCaffrey, Alvin Kamara, and Jahmyr Gibbs. Anybody who banked on players like those could have made a run at their league title.

Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire Divisional Round NFL schedule 10,000 times and released its latest NFL Divisional Round Fantasy football rankings and projections. Head to SportsLine now to see them.

How to bet on NFL games

Here are several sportsbooks to bet on NFL games this week, along with the various NFL sportsbook promos they currently offer.

Sportsbook Promo
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BetMGM Up to $1,500 in bonus bets if your first bet loses
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Bet365 Bet $5 and get $150 in bonus bets guaranteed* 
DraftKings Bet $5, get $200 in bonus bets instantly
Fanatics Bet up to $100 per day for the first 10 days to get up to $1,000 in no sweat bets

Top NFL Divisional Round Fantasy football QB projections

For NFL Divisional Round 2025, the model projects the top Fantasy football quarterback to be Lamar Jackson of the Baltimore Ravens. Jackson has been on a tear all season long. He finished the regular season with 4,172 passing yards, which ranked sixth in the league, and 41 touchdown passes, the second-most in the NFL. He’s also been extremely effective with his legs, rushing for 915 yards and four touchdowns in the regular season.

In last week’s win over the Steelers, Jackson completed 16 of 21 pass attempts for 175 yards and two touchdowns while also carrying the ball 15 times for 81 yards. On Sunday, Jackson and the Ravens will take on the Buffalo Bills, a team he’s had success against already this season. In Baltimore’s win over Buffalo on Sept. 29, Jackson finished with 156 passing yards and two touchdowns. He also had six carries for 54 yards and another score. The model predicts Jackson will score 26.22 Fantasy points on average this week and projects that he’ll throw for 220 yards and 1.88 touchdowns on average while also rushing for 56 yards and 0.21 touchdowns. See more top QBs here.

Top NFL Divisional Round Fantasy football RB projections

Another 2025 NFL Divisional Round projection from the model, the top Fantasy football running back is Jahmyr Gibbs of the Lions. A somewhat surprising No. 12 overall pick in the 2023 NFL Draft, Gibbs quickly vindicated Detroit head coach Dan Campbell and general manager Brad Holmes by piling up 1,261 scrimmage yards and 11 touchdowns as a rookie despite splitting time with David Montgomery. This year, he’s been even better and has elevated his game once again since Montgomery (knee) was placed on injured reserve late in the season.

Gibbs has produced 487 scrimmage yards and scored six touchdowns in the three weeks since Montgomery was sidelined. He finished the season with 1,412 rushing yards and 16 touchdowns while adding 52 catches for 517 yards and four more scores. Against Washington’s 30th-ranked run defense, the model predicts he rushes for 100 yards and 0.97 touchdowns while adding 3.8 receptions for 38 yards and 0.29 touchdowns to produce 25.13 points in PPR leagues on average. See more top RBs here.

Top NFL Divisional Round Fantasy football WR projections

For NFL Divisional Round 2025, the model also projects the top Fantasy football wide receiver will be Lions wide receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown. A fourth-round pick in the 2021 NFL Draft, St. Brown emerged as Detroit’s top target late in his rookie season and has gone on to turn in three consecutive seasons of at least 100 catches and 1,000 yards since.

He’s now a two-time first-team all-pro and his 12 touchdown catches this season were a career-high. St. Brown scored in 11 of 17 games this season and the model thinks he is more likely than not to score a touchdown on Sunday. It predicts he averages 6.5 catches for 78 yards and 0.73 touchdowns to score 18.87 points in PPR leagues. See more top WRs here.

Top NFL Divisional Round Fantasy football TE projections

Included in the 2025 NFL Divisional Round projections from the model, the top Fantasy football tight end is predicted to be Lions tight end Sam LaPorta. Playing in the NFL’s most diversified offense, LaPorta saw his target rate decline from 2023 to 2024 but he was still one of the most productive tight ends in the NFL on a per-touch basis. On 83 targets, he caught 60 passes for 726 yards and seven touchdowns in 16 games.

Despite ranking 26th in the NFL in target rate, he ranked ninth in the league in PPR points per target (2.10) and he reached double-digits in DraftKings scoring each of the last six weeks of the season. Now the model is projecting that he accounts for a league-high 11.95 Fantasy points on average. It predicts that he catches 3.9 passes for 48 yards and 0.52 touchdowns on average. See more top TEs here.

Top NFL Divisional Round Fantasy football D/ST projections

For NFL Divisional Round 2025, the model projects the top Fantasy football D/ST to be the Kansas City Chiefs. They’ll host the Houston Texans in the first matchup of NFL Divisional Round 2025 on Saturday and will look to take advantage of a disastrous Houston offensive line. The Texans gave up a staggering 54 sacks on the season and C.J. Stroud took a major step in terms of ball security (12 interceptions and seven fumbles).

Meanwhile, the Chiefs ranked fourth in the NFL in scoring defense and ninth in total defense during the regular season. Kansas City also forced three turnovers in the final three games where it played its starters. The model is projecting that the Chiefs account for a league-high 10.5 Fantasy points on average. It predicts that they average 3.21 sacks, 0.67 interceptions and 0.54 fumble recovers with 0.11 defensive touchdowns while only allowing 17 points. See more top D/ST here

How to get NFL Divisional Round Fantasy football rankings and projections

Now that you know who the top player at each position is and their projected stats, you’ll want to see the full NFL Divisional Round Fantasy football rankings from SportsLine. The model has identified a stunner in the top 10 at wide receiver, and knowing who it is can give you a huge edge in your league. Head to SportsLine now to get NFL Divisional Round Fantasy football rankings and projections.

So who should you target for your playoff Fantasy football leagues, DFS, SGPs and on PrizePicks, and which surprising wide receiver could lead you to a winning week? Visit SportsLine now to get NFL Divisional Round Fantasy Football rankings for every single position, all from the model that has a history of making league-winning calls, and find out.

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