Thursday, January 15, 2026

How and where to bet MLB player prop picks, odds for Aug. 24: Dustin May among best bets

How and where to bet MLB player prop picks, odds for Aug. 24: Dustin May among best bets

All 30 teams appear on the MLB schedule once again on Sunday, and the full slate will include several crucial rivalry matchups with postseason implications. Tigers vs. Royals is an AL Central matchup where both teams are over .500, and first place in the NL West will be on the line in Padres vs. Dodgers. Additionally, the Yankees vs. Red Sox rivalry will take center stage on Sunday Night Baseball. There’s no shortage of MLB betting choices to make at the top sportsbooks on Sunday.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It enters Week 21 of the 2025 MLB season at a profitable 31-23 on top-rated MLB money-line picks. The Inside the Lines team has locked in on its most favorable props for Sunday’s games. Here are some of their best plays.

Best MLB player prop for Sunday, Aug. 24

Sportsbook promos for MLB player props on Sunday, Aug. 24

Brand

Promo

CBS promo code

DraftKings

Bet $5, get $200 in bonus bets instantly and $200 off NFL Sunday Ticket Just click here
BetMGM Up to $1,500 in bonus bets if your first bet loses CBSSPORTS
bet365 Bet $5, get $200 in bonus bets win or lose CBSBET365
Caesars Bet $1, double your winnings your next 20 bets CBS20X
FanDuel Bet $5, get $300 in bonus bets if your bet wins Just click here
Fanatics Get a $100 No Sweat Bet on every Game Day Just click here

The DraftKings promo code is offering both $200 in bonus bets to new users as well as over $200 off NFL Sunday Ticket through YouTube TV. The bet365 bonus code also gives new users $200 in bonus bets whether their first bet wins or loses. The FanDuel promo code is for $300 in bonus bets after a first bet of $5 or more, but that first bet must win.

The BetMGM bonus code allows users to get up to $1,500 in bonus bets if their first bet wins.  The Fanatics Sportsbook promo code also gives users bonus bets for losing first bets, but it gives users a $100 No Sweat Bet for every NFL or college football weekend game day through Oct. 12.

Instead of bonus bets, the Caesars Sportsbook promo code gives 20 100% profit boosts to users who place a first bet of $1 or more after signing up.

Best MLB prop on Saturday

Dustin May Over 4.5 strikeouts 

Fading our No. 1 strikeout pitcher, Garrett Crochet (Under 7.5), last night clearly did not work out for us. We will switch gears and back tonight’s Red Sox starter Dustin May, who is only 17th in this list but with Over 4.5 Ks at -150 available on bet365 this morning, it is good value. The 5.26 strikeouts implies around a 70% chance of going Over 4.5, and -150 implies 60%. May averages a full strikeout less in 10 road starts compared to 11 home starts, but his road average is still above 4.5 at 4.7 per outing. May comes in with a solid 4-2 Over stretch, including eight strikeouts at Houston on Aug. 12. His last two starts have both been quality starts, reaching six innings pitched.  

Check out the SportsLine Projection Model’s full slate of predictions and prop leans for this game, as well as expert picks for tonight’s MLB slate.

MLB home runs, stolen bases, strikeouts cheat sheet

The SportsLine Projection Model was developed and is powered by the Inside the Lines team. You can find all of the team’s picks and content at our blog, which has all our personal best bets for free. The system is simple: We take the strongest SportsLine Model projected values vs. the best available prices at the time we publish our content. In most cases, lines move in our direction, so you should bookmark the blog, follow us on social and make it a habit of checking for updates throughout the day to maximize your expected value. 

The table below shows today’s projected leading home run, stolen base and strikeout leaders. We include the projection, and for HRs and SBs, the money line we’d set for YES HR/SB. You can use this cheat sheet to compare it to your book’s line, and if your book’s line is significantly higher than ours (and you like the player), then you would want to consider that bet.

RANK HR SB K
8/24 PLAYER | HR PROJ | PROP LINE PLAYER | SB PROJ | PROP LINE STARTER | K PROJ
1 Eugenio Suarez (SEA) | 0.354 | +182 Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.359 | +179 Jacob Lopez (ATH) | 6.35
2 Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.316 | +216 Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.335 | +199 Carlos Rodon (NYY) | 6.31
3 Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.305 | +228 Jose Caballero (NYY) | 0.312 | +221 Brandon Woodruff (MIL) | 6.22
4 Nick Kurtz (ATH) | 0.296 | +238 Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) | 0.292 | +242 Paul Skenes (PIT) | 6.21
5 Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.269 | +272 Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.282 | +255 Ranger Suarez (PHI) | 6.2
6 Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.266 | +276 Luis Robert (CHW) | 0.281 | +256 Logan Gilbert (SEA) | 6.16
7 Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.258 | +288 Victor Robles (SEA) | 0.269 | +272 Nick Pivetta (SD) | 6.15
8 Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.252 | +297 Bobby Witt (KC) | 0.265 | +277 Jack Flaherty (DET) | 6.06
9 Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.248 | +303 Jazz Chisholm (NYY) | 0.229 | +337 Kevin Gausman (TOR) | 5.98
10 Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.245 | +308 Zach Neto (LAA) | 0.217 | +361 Robbie Ray (SF) | 5.75
11 Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.237 | +322 Xavier Edwards (MIA) | 0.21 | +376 Spencer Arrighetti (HOU) | 5.54
12 Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.237 | +322 Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.21 | +376 Ryan Pepiot (TB) | 5.51
13 Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.229 | +337 Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.21 | +376 David Peterson (NYM) | 5.44
14 Brent Rooker (ATH) | 0.224 | +346 Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.209 | +378 Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD) | 5.4
15 Shea Langeliers (ATH) | 0.222 | +350 Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.206 | +385 Gavin Williams (CLE) | 5.36
16 Riley Greene (DET) | 0.219 | +357 Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.206 | +385 Zac Gallen (ARI) | 5.32
17 Daulton Varsho (TOR) | 0.218 | +359 Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.198 | +405 Dustin May (BOS) | 5.26
18 Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.213 | +369 Andres Gimenez (TOR) | 0.195 | +413 Taj Bradley (MIN) | 5.25
19 Tyler Soderstrom (ATH) | 0.211 | +374 Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.178 | +462 Brady Singer (CIN) | 5.16
20 Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.209 | +378 Brice Turang (MIL) | 0.177 | +465 Jameson Taillon (CHC) | 5.14

Related articles

Share article

Latest articles

Newsletter

Subscribe to stay updated.