Wednesday, January 14, 2026

2025 NFL Futures Fantasy Draft: How to play, plus full results from SportsLine expert league

2025 NFL Futures Fantasy Draft: How to play, plus full results from SportsLine expert league

Two years ago, I took a crack at putting my spin on designing an NFL Futures competition that feels like a Fantasy football draft, then I put 12 top experts from CBS Sports and SportsLine to the test competing to see who would come out on top with their predictions. Like a Fantasy draft, once a bet has been selected, it’s off the board for everyone else. However, it’s crucial to balance the competition in a way that rewards the best overall NFL futures drafter and avoids as much as possible one somewhat realistic surprise winner nullifying the rest of the draft.

The groundwork for building a successful NFL futures portfolio is win totals, so our draft makes hitting those foundational picks crucial. In 2023, SportsLine’s Larry Hartstein put together an excellent draft overall but missed his second win total, and that was enough to deny him the title when SportsLine’s Mackenzie Brooks hit all three of her top win totals. In 2024, Hartstein hit both his top win totals but missed his third, and that resulted in another second-place finish to someone who hit all three win totals plus other high-value picks.

NFL Futures Draft rules

So what does each roster look like? With a 12-person draft in mind, we have each drafter make 16 picks of varying unit sizes in any order, like so:

Win totals

  • 3u Win total
  • 2u Win total
  • 1u Win total
  • 0.5u Alternate win total

Rule: Each side of a team’s win total is only allowed to be selected once whether it’s used for a regular win total or alternate slot. That means of the possible 64 picks (32 Overs and 32 Unders), 48 different win total sides will be selected in a 12-team league.

Playoff bets

  • 1u Make/miss playoffs
  • 0.5u Division winner
  • 0.25u Super Bowl winner

Rule: Once a team is used for either side of a make/miss playoff bet, the other side is also removed from the board. Therefore, two picks in the category will not be in direct competition.

Awards bets

  • 0.25u MVP
  • 0.1u Offensive Player of the Year
  • 0.1u Defensive Player of the Year
  • 0.1u Offensive Rookie of the Year
  • 0.1u Defensive Rookie of the Year
  • 0.1u Coach of the Year

Rule: Selection of a player only removes him from the board of that category and still allows him to be selected for other awards. For example, Lamar Jackson to win MVP and Lamar Jackson to win Offensive Player of the Year could both be selected in the same draft.

Player props

  • 1u Passing yards/TD over/under
  • 1u Rushing yards/TD over/under
  • 1u Receiving yards/TD over/under

Rule: Once a player is used for a category, all other potential picks are removed from that player for that category alone, but the player can be selected for another category. For example, Saquon Barkley rushing yards Over being selected would mean no other Barkley rushing props can be selected, but Saquon Barkley receiving yards Over is still available.

Odds selection

The simplest rule for which odds to use is to pick one sportsbook and stick with it for every pick. We went with DraftKings Sportsbook for the SportsLine NFL Futures Fantasy Draft, which was an extended draft via email that took roughly four weeks to complete. For slow drafts especially, use the odds in real time when a pick is made and make sure the pick is still available to be bet so that the competition is truly about finding the best NFL futures bettor and not taking advantage of stale lines or injured players.

SportsLine NFL Futures Fantasy Draft

Our group of 12 participants from SportsLine includes the following experts, in order of how the randomizer slotted them in the draft: Sia Nejad, Larry Hartstein, R.J. White, Bob Konarski, Thomas Casale, Mackenzie Brooks, Jeff Hochman, Danny Vithlani, Josh Nagel, Dave Richard, Eric Cohen and Alex Selesnick.

We’ll go round by round to show you how the draft played out.

Round 1

Category Pick Price
Nejad 3u Win Total DEN OV 9.5 -105
Hartstein 3u Win Total ATL OV 7.5 -140
White 3u Win Total NE UN 8.5 +100
Konarski 3u Win Total PHI OV 11.5 +110
Casale 3u Win Total NYG OV 5.5 +100
Brooks 3u Win Total CHI UN 8.5 -135
Hochman 3u Win Total DET UN 10.5 -130
Vithlani 3u Win Total MIN UN 9.5 -125
Nagel 3u Win Total NO UN 5.5 -150
Richard 3u Win Total DAL UN 8.5 -145
Cohen 3u Win Total BAL OV 11.5 -115
Selesnick 3u Win Total TB OV 9.5 -105

For the third straight year, everyone began the draft by taking a three-unit win total as it’s imperative to hit the pick in that slot in order to have any chance at winning. My top pick was the Broncos Over 9.5, but Sia took it at first overall, so I settled for my second favorite pick in the Patriots Under 8.5. Unlike last year, two different drafters didn’t take opposite sides of the same win total in the first round, so there is potential for everyone to hit this pick.

Round 2

Category Pick Price
Selesnick 2u Win Total MIA UN 7.5 -115
Cohen 2u Win Total CLE UN 5.5 -140
Richard 2u Win Total IND UN 7.5 -110
Nagel 2u Win Total LAC OV 9.5 -115
Vithlani 2u Win Total ARI UN 8.5 -105
Hochman 2u Win Total TEN OV 5.5 -150
Brooks 2u Win Total NYJ OV 6.5 +120
Casale 2u Win Total CAR OV 6.5 -130
Konarski 2u Win Total GB OV 9.5 -120
White 2u Win Total SF OV 10.5 +110
Hartstein 2u Win Total MIN OV 9.5 +105
Nejad 2u Win Total TEN UN 6.5 -145

Again, win totals are the name of the game as everyone filled their two-unit win total slot, with again only three drafters getting aggressive and going for plus odds. I was the only person to make two plus-odds plays with my first two picks, which gives me the potential to take the early lead in this draft if both hit.

Round 3

Category Pick Price
Nejad 0.25u Super Ravens +600
Hartstein 1u Win Total LAC UN 9.5 -105
White 0.25u Super 49ers +2000
Konarski 1u Win Total CIN UN 9.5 +100
Casale 0.25u Super Chiefs +850
Brooks 0.25u Super Eagles +700
Hochman 0.25u Super Bills +600
Vithlani 0.25u MVP Lamar Jackson +550
Nagel 0.25u MVP Joe Burrow +650
Richard 1u Playoffs PIT Make playoffs +125
Cohen 0.5u Division NFCN Packers +250
Selesnick 0.5u Division NFCE Eagles -130

With the two big win totals out of the way for every drafter, now we see some strategy come into play. Five people decided to back a Super Bowl winner, and I correlated my play in that category with my 49ers Over as if the win total hits, I’ll have great value on this play heading into the playoffs. We also saw the first two MVP picks come off the board along with two division-winner plays, two one-unit win totals and one make/miss playoffs pick. I was extremely disappointed to see the Packers division winner come off the board, and I wish I would’ve waited on the 49ers Super Bowl pick in retrospect.

Round 4

Category Pick Price
Selesnick 1u Playoffs NE Miss playoffs -155
Cohen 1u Win Total LV OV 6.5 -145
Richard 0.25u MVP Patrick Mahomes +700
Nagel 1u Win Total SEA UN 8.5 -140
Vithlani 0.5u Division NFCS Buccaneers -110
Hochman 0.5u Division AFCS Titans +600
Brooks 0.5u Division AFCW Chargers +310
Casale 0.5u Division AFCN Ravens -150
Konarski 1u Playoffs GB Make playoffs -135
White 0.25u MVP Jayden Daniels +750
Hartstein 0.1u OPOY Ja’Marr Chase +950
Nejad 0.25u MVP Jalen Hurts 1700

A majority of teams either took a division winner or MVP in this round, and I went with the latter as I didn’t want to be shut out of the market for the top options even though I love Bo Nix as a sleeper. My target was Patrick Mahomes, but Dave took him early in the round so I went with Jayden Daniels instead. We also saw our first foray into the 0.1-unit awards with Ja’Marr Chase being grabbed for Offensive Player of the Year. I love Jeff getting aggressive by using the Titans as his division winner this round as well, and they were on my list of potential picks for the category.

Round 5

Category Pick Price
Nejad 0.5u Division AFCS Texans +110
Hartstein 0.25u MVP Jordan Love +2500
White 0.5u Division NFCW 49ers +150
Konarski 0.1u DROY Abdul Carter +250
Casale 0.25u MVP Justin Herbert +1800
Brooks 1u Win Total SEA OV 8.5 +115
Hochman 1u Playoffs TEN Make playoffs +370
Vithlani 1u Playoffs LAC Make playoffs -140
Nagel 0.5u Division NFCN Lions +155
Richard 1u Rush Prop J.Allen OV 500.5 Yd -115
Cohen 0.25u MVP Josh Allen +550
Selesnick 0.25u MVP Baker Mayfield +2500

The 49ers weren’t necessarily my top divisional pick at this point, but they were close, and I figure may as well continue the correlation with my two-unit win total play. I expect Abdul Carter to win Defensive Rookie of the Year, but the win wouldn’t net Bob that much in terms of points since we only make those 0.1-unit plays. We also see our first player prop come off the board with Dave taking Josh Allen’s rushing yards Over, while Eric followed it up by backing an MVP repeat for the Bills quarterback.

Round 6

Category Pick Price
Selesnick 1u Win Total BUF UN 12.5 -150
Cohen 0.1u OPOY Christian McCaffrey +2200
Richard 1u Pass Prop Stafford UN 3750.5 Yd -110
Nagel 1u Playoffs CHI Miss playoffs -195
Vithlani 1u Pass Prop Burrow OV 4150.5 Yd -120
Hochman 1u Win Total HOU UN 9.5 -120
Brooks 0.1u OROY Ashton Jeanty +275
Casale 1u Playoffs ATL Make playoffs +155
Konarski 1u Rush Prop Barkley OV 1425.5 Yd +110
White 1u Playoffs DEN Make playoffs -140
Hartstein 0.5u Division NFCW Cardinals +450
Nejad 1u Playoffs HOU Make playoffs -130

We’re now in the part of the draft with a good mixture of categories in every round, with three player props, two awards, two win totals and one division bet joining four make/miss playoffs bets. I wanted to lock in a make playoffs bet on Denver after missing out on the Broncos for my first win total, and I really like Larry taking a shot on the Cardinals winning the NFC West at the +450 price, even though I have the 49ers there.

Round 7

Category Pick Price
Nejad 0.5u Alt Wins NYJ UN 5.5 +130
Hartstein 1u Playoffs ARI Make playoffs +115
White 0.5u Alt Wins CHI OV 9.5 +180
Konarski 0.5u Division AFCW Chiefs -120
Casale 0.1u OROY Cameron Ward +350
Brooks 1u Playoffs SEA Make playoffs +170
Hochman 0.5u Alt Wins ARI OV 9.5 +125
Vithlani 0.1u OROY Omarion Hampton +750
Nagel 0.5u Alt Wins MIA OV 8.5 +150
Richard 1u Win Total ATL UN 7.5 +115
Cohen 1u Playoffs MIN Miss playoffs -110
Selesnick 1u Rec Prop Hunter OV 750.5 Yd -120

This round breaks ground on the half-unit alternate win totals, with some like myself passing on their one-unit standard win total to get aggressive with one of the few win totals left we like. I decided to buy in on the Ben Johnson upside and take the Bears to be a 10-win team at what I think is a value price at +180, and Josh and Jeff also got aggressive with win total Overs on Miami and Arizona, respectively. Even though it won’t pay off much in terms of points at +350 on a 0.1-unit play, I love the value backing Cameron Ward for Offensive Rookie of the Year as well, though I have my sights set on a longer shot there.

Round 8

Category Pick Price
Selesnick 1u Pass Prop Rodgers UN 23.5 TD -125
Cohen 0.5u Alt Wins WAS OV 10.5 +150
Richard 0.5u Alt Wins PIT OV 10.5 +250
Nagel 0.1u OPOY Jahmyr Gibbs +1200
Vithlani 0.5u Alt Wins JAC OV 8.5 +140
Hochman 1u Rush Prop Bi.Robinson OV 1200.5 Yd -110
Brooks 0.1u DROY Jalon Walker +1000
Casale 0.1u OPOY Bijan Robinson +1400
Konarski 0.1u DPOY T.J. Watt +950
White 0.1u OROY Tetairoa McMillan +1600
Hartstein 0.25u Super Lions +1100
Nejad 0.1u OPOY Derrick Henry +1400

I was devastated to see Bijan Robinson Offensive Player of the Year come off the board two picks ahead of me, making me regret waiting one round too long for that selection. I pivoted to the Offensive Rookie of the Year value I like the most in Tetairoa McMillan, whose receiving yards over/under has trended upwards in recent days as he is poised to be the main passing-game weapon in the Carolina offense.

Round 9

Category Pick Price
Nejad 0.1u OROY Emeka Egbuka +2500
Hartstein 0.1u COY Jonathan Gannon +1400
White 0.1u OPOY Justin Jefferson +1600
Konarski 0.1u OROY TreVeyon Henderson +2000
Casale 0.1u DPOY Aidan Hutchinson +700
Brooks 0.1u COY Mike Macdonald +2000
Hochman 0.1u DROY Mike Green +1200
Vithlani 0.1u COY Liam Coen +1200
Nagel 0.1u COY Mike Vrabel +600
Richard 0.1u COY John Harbaugh +6000
Cohen 0.1 DPOY Jared Verse +1500
Selesnick 0.1u OPOY Brian Thomas Jr. +3500

We’re well into awards season with many of our win totals and playoff bets figured out along with plenty of options in the player props, and in one 20-pick stretch that includes this entire round, we had 19 awards bets selected. I see Justin Jefferson as a good value at +1600 to win Offensive Player of the year even though I would’ve preferred Bijan Robinson, as Jefferson has proven to be quarterback proof over the course of his career. Some interesting Coach of the Year candidates also come off the board, including one huge +6000 swing by Dave.

Round 10

Category Pick Price
Selesnick 0.1u DROY Malaki Starks +1800
Cohen 0.1u COY Dave Canales +1600
Richard 0.25u Super Buccaneers +2800
Nagel 0.1u DROY Mykel Williams +1400
Vithlani 1u Win Total BUF OV 12.5 +125
Hochman 0.25u MVP Bo Nix +3500
Brooks 0.25u MVP Saquon Barkley +6000
Casale 0.1u DROY James Pearce +1600
Konarski 0.1u COY Aaron Glenn +1600
White 1u Win Total PIT UN 8.5 -105
Hartstein 0.1u DROY Travis Hunter +1000
Nejad 1u Rec Prop Ty.Hill OV 975.5 Yd -115

More awards off the board, including one +6000 longshot for MVP that would end the competition if it were to somehow hit. I love Bo Nix as an MVP sleeper as well, and if that comes through for Jeff he’s going to have a great shot of winning, but I didn’t want to take him at +3500 with other books having him as high as +6000 (a price that would’ve made him my play over Jayden Daniels, who I took several rounds earlier).

Round 11

Category Pick Price
Nejad 0.1u COY Sean Payton +1600
Hartstein 1u Rec Prop LaPorta OV 675.5 Yd -110
White 0.1u DROY Mason Graham +1600
Konarski 1u Pass Prop Mayfield OV 3200.5 Yd -120
Casale 1u Win Total CIN OV 9.5 -120
Brooks 0.5u Alt Wins DAL OV 9.5 +200
Hochman 0.1u COY Ben Johnson +700
Vithlani 0.25u Super Bengals +2200
Nagel 0.1u OROY Travis Hunter +1000
Richard 0.1u OROY Jaxson Dart +3500
Cohen 0.1u DROY Jihaad Campbell +1400
Selesnick 0.1u DPOY Myles Garrett +850

Travis Hunter gets taken for Rookie of the Year in back-to-back rounds, and interestingly enough, it was the defensive category where he went first last round, which may speak more to the options he’s up against in each category. I saw both him and Mason Graham as the last realistic Defensive Rookie of the Year options as voters have typically pulled those winners from the top 12 overall picks, and since I don’t think Hunter is going to play enough defense to get the mix, I went with Graham at longer odds.

Round 12

Category Pick Price
Selesnick 1u Rush Prop J.Cook UN 8.5 TD +105
Cohen 1u Rec Prop Jam.Williams OV 900.5 Yd -115
Richard 0.1u DPOY Trey Hendrickson +2200
Nagel 0.1u DPOY Will Anderson +1300
Vithlani 1u Rec Prop B.Thomas OV 1150.5 Yd -110
Hochman 0.1u OROY Matthew Golden +2500
Brooks 1u Rec Prop Nabers OV 1150.5 Yd -115
Casale 1u Rec Prop Coleman OV 750.5 Yd +105
Konarski 0.1u OPOY Malik Nabers +3500
White 0.1u DPOY Nick Bosa +1500
Hartstein 0.5 Alt Wins CAR UN 5.5 +165
Nejad 0.1u DPOY Danielle Hunter +8000

Interesting note here is that Thomas preemptively sniped Dave by taking the Keon Coleman Over, as the Fantasy analyst would settle on Coleman as his sleeper of the summer within the following days and presumably would’ve taken him to fill his open receiving prop slot. Dave certainly loves the value he got on Trey Hendrickson to win Defensive Player of the Year after the pass rusher agreed to a reworked deal for 2025, while I love the value I’m getting on Nick Bosa for the same award at +1500. Nothing compares to the home run swing by Sia, who took Danielle Hunter at +8000 for the same award.

Round 13

Category Pick Price
Nejad 0.1u DROY Jahdae Barron +1800
Hartstein 0.1u DPOY Maxx Crosby +1300
White 0.1u COY Matt LaFleur +2000
Konarski 0.25u Super Packers +2000
Casale 0.1u COY Jim Harbaugh +1800
Brooks 1u Rush Prop Jeanty OV 7.5 TD -130
Hochman 0.1u OPOY Saquon Barkley +650
Vithlani 0.1u DPOY Kyle Hamilton +5000
Nagel 0.25u Super Rams +2200
Richard 0.1u DROY Nick Emmanwori +3000
Cohen 1u Rush Prop Jacobs OV 1050.5 Yd -110
Selesnick 0.25u Super Broncos +2500

Awards still dominate the conversation in this round, though we also see some teams reaching back to key categories they passed on earlier like Super Bowl winner in this round. My plan for Coach of the Year had been to take Ben Johnson even with the lower price as one of the favorites, as I still see +700 having the potential to make the difference in the teams at the top. But with him taken two rounds ago, I instead take a shot on LaFleur being honored for what I believe will be a great Packers season.

Round 14

Category Pick Price
Selesnick 0.5u Alt Wins SF UN 8.5 +255
Cohen 0.25 Super Commanders +2000
Richard 1u Rec Prop Harrison OV 6.5 TD -125
Nagel 1u Rec Prop Evans OV 950.5 Yd -120
Vithlani 0.1u OPOY Joe Burrow +5000
Hochman 0.1u DPOY Jalen Carter +2200
Brooks 0.1u OPOY Nico Collins +2000
Casale 0.5u Alt Wins IND OV 8.5 +190
Konarski 0.5u Alt Wins NYG UN 4.5 +200
White 1u Rush Prop Henry UN 13.5 TD -110
Hartstein 0.1u OROY RJ Harvey +3000
Nejad 1u Win Total KC UN 11.5 -120

This round we see the final win total picks closed out with three teams taking their alternate plays and one their one-unit win total, making the Chiefs Under the 48th win total taken. Both Josh and I left all three of our player props until the end of the draft, and I thought his Mike Evans Over was a smart play. I’m more focused on Unders and trying to find numbers that are already stretching the boundary of what I think is realistic, then giving injuries a chance to help me cash. I see Derrick Henry’s touchdown over/under of 13.5 as massive for any player, and any combination of saving him for playoffs, resting starters at the end of the season or even missing one game due to injury could help my pick cash.

Round 15

Category Pick Price
Nejad 1u Rush Prop Irving OV 7.5 TD -110
Hartstein 1u Pass Prop Love OV 3600.5 Yd +105
White 1u Pass Prop Darnold UN 20.5 TD -145
Konarski 1u Rec Prop Bowers OV 5.5 TD +110
Casale 1u Pass Prop Maye OV 19.5 TD -125
Brooks 1u Pass Prop Herbert OV 22.5 TD -125
Hochman 1u Pass Prop Tagovailoa UN 3450.5 Yd -125
Vithlani 0.1u DROY Maxwell Hairston +3000
Nagel 1u Pass Prop Mahomes OV 4050.5 Yd -110
Richard 0.25 Division AFCW Broncos +250
Cohen 0.1u OROY Tyler Warren +3000
Selesnick 0.1u OROY Kyle Williams +7500

We’re mostly finishing up with player props here, though we do have three interesting longshot plays for one of the Rookie of the Year awards as well as a final divisional winner pick. I felt the pull of Bo Nix’s yardage Over for my passing prop but ultimately stuck with my fade plan and backed Sam Darnold’s touchdown Under instead. I don’t see a lot of upside for him in the category based on the options in Seattle and what I believe the offensive philosophy will be for the team.

Round 16

Category Pick Price
Selesnick 0.1u COY Sean McVay +2500
Cohen 1u Pass Prop Prescott OV 3900.5 Yd -115
Richard 0.1u OPOY Josh Jacobs +6000
Nagel 1u Rush Prop Maye UN 500.5 Yd -105
Vithlani 1u Rush Prop Daniels OV 675.5 Yd -110
Hochman 1u Rec Prop Chase UN 1325.5 Yd -110
Brooks 0.1u DPOY Quinyon Mitchell +5000
Casale 1u Rush Prop Montgomery UN 725.5 Yd -115
Konarski 0.25u MVP Brock Purdy +3000
White 1u Rec Prop Metcalf UN 6.5 TD +100
Hartstein 1u Rush Prop Walker OV 875.5 Yd -110
Nejad 1u Pass Prop Stroud UN 3800.5 Yd -110

We finish up mostly with player props but also a few more awards longshots, and Dave’s Josh Jacobs for Offensive Player of the Year pick is especially interesting at the +6000 price. I faded DK Metcalf in the Steelers passing offense with my final pick, expecting seven TDs to be a tall order for any receiver in that situation, and I was able to get even odds on the play to boot.

I provided further analysis of the draft in real time for our SportsLine Discord members over the last few weeks, so be sure to check it out if you want more NFL betting analysis and picks.

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