The Chiefs and Jaguars are winless against the spread over their last four games, with the Jags losing all four straight-up and the Chiefs going 1-3. Kansas City will host Cincinnati during the Week 17 NFL schedule, while Jacksonville will host Carolina. It turns out that the Chiefs’ and Jags’ opponents also have NFL betting trends of their own, which could come in handy when laying down Week 17 NFL bets.
Carolina has covered in back-to-back outings and in three of four games since its midseason coaching change. Meanwhile, the Bengals have just one ATS defeat over their last four games and are 3-1 ATS over their last four meetings with Patrick Mahomes. Knowing the NFL odds and trends could assist in making your Week 17 NFL bets. All of the Week 17 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine’s advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and NFL predictions you need to make the best Week 17 NFL picks now.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 17 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 178-129 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 32-21 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 17 NFL odds and locked in picks for every NFL matchup. Head here to see every pick.
Top Week 17 NFL predictions
We can tell you one of the model’s strongest Week 17 NFL picks is that the Eagles (-10.5) cover against the Cardinals. Arizona has simply been non-competitive in its last three games as double-digit underdogs, which have all come this season. The Cards are 0-3 both straight-up and against the spread in those games, losing by an average of 20.7 points. Overall, Arizona has covered in just three of its last 12 games, which marks the same number of ATS wins it had over its first three games of the season.
The advanced model from SportsLine projects Arizona to struggle immensely with Jalen Hurts, which is to be expected as the Cards rank last in both run defense and third-down defense. Hurts is projected to total nearly 300 yards passing plus rushing, while the entire Cardinals team barely cracks 300 yards as a whole. When you also factor in Philadelphia’s running backs, as D’Andre Swift and Kenneth Gainwell are expected to combine for over 100 total yards, Philly’s offense will be too much for Arizona to keep up with. Thus, the Eagles (-10.5) cover over 50% of the time. See which other teams to pick here.
Another one of its Week 17 NFL predictions: The Seahawks (-3.5) cover the spread at home versus the Steelers. It’s been over 40 years since the Steelers won a game in Seattle, as the Seahawks have claimed victory in the last five home meetings with Pittsburgh. In terms of recent success, the Seahawks are undefeated against the spread over their last four games.
DK Metcalf, Tyler Lockett and Jaxon Smith-Njigba are all projected to have at least 50 receiving yards, while Kenneth Walker III has nearly 75 scrimmage yards. Seattle has more options on offense than Pittsburgh, which ranks in the bottom eight in points scored, yards gained, third-down offense and redzone offense. The Steelers are averaging just 16.8 points over their last six games and the model doesn’t have them reaching that total on Sunday. Given Seattle’s home-field domination and Pittsburgh’s offensive woes, the Seahawks (-3.5) cover well over 50% of the time. The Under (41.5) is also projected to hit in over 60% of simulations. See which other teams to pick here.
How to make Week 17 NFL picks
The model has also made the call on who wins and covers in every other game on the Week 17 NFL schedule and just revealed three teams that outright win well over 70% of the time. You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine.
So what NFL picks can you make with confidence, and which three teams should you lock in now? Check out the latest NFL odds below, then visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned well over $7,000 since its inception, and find out.
Week 17 NFL odds, lines, spreads
Get full NFL picks at SportsLine
Thursday, Dec. 28
Saturday, Dec. 30
Sunday, Dec. 31
Dolphins at Ravens (-3.5, 47)
Falcons at Bears (-3, 38)
Raiders at Colts (-3, 44.5)
Rams at Giants (+6, 42)
Cardinals at Eagles (-10.5, 48)
Saints at Buccaneers (-3, 42)
49ers at Commanders (+13.5, 48.5)
Steelers at Seahawks (-3.5, 41.5)
Bengals at Chiefs (-7, 44.5)
Chargers at Broncos (-5.5, 38.5)
Packers at Vikings (-2, 46)
