While he may already have two starts under his belt, the Justin Fields era in Chicago is officially underway this weekend in Las Vegas after head coach Matt Nagy announced that the first-round rookie will be the Bears‘ starter going forward. Fields earned his first career win as a pro last week against Detroit and his latest test as he ascends atop the depth chart is a matchup with the Raiders at Allegiant Stadium. Las Vegas is coming into Week 5 looking to bounce back after suffering their first loss of the season last time out to the Chargers on “Monday Night Football.”
In this space, we’re going to cover all the different betting angles that this game has to offer. On top of taking a look at the spread and total, we’ll hand in a few of our favorite player props as well.
All NFL odds via Caesars Sportsbook.
How to watch
Date: Sunday, Oct. 10 | Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
Location: Allegiant Stadium (Las Vegas)
TV: CBS | Stream: Paramount+ (click here)
Follow: CBS Sports App
Odds: Raiders -5.5, O/U 44
Line movement
Latest Odds: Las Vegas Raiders -5.5
The Raiders opened as a 6.5-point favorite in this game, but that number quickly dropped to 4.5 on Sunday. To this point, however, things have started to trend back in Las Vegas’ direction with the spread moving up to 5.5 as of Friday afternoon.
The pick: Raiders -4.5. It’s never easy playing on a short week like the Raiders will do in Week 5, but not having key pillars to your team is even more difficult. That’s the situation Chicago finds itself in with running back David Montgomery out for this game. Things could become even more dire for the Bears as both Khalil Mack and Akiem Hicks are also dealing with injuries and have missed practice time. Pair that with a Las Vegas team looking to get back into the the win column after a reality check game against the Chargers on Monday night and this number feels like it should be closer to where it was when it opened.
Key trend: Bears are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games on the road.
Over/Under total
The total in this game has relatively held as this week has progressed. After opening at 45, it has shifted a half point in each direction, moving as high as 45.5 and as low as 44.5, which is where it currently resides.
The pick: Over 44.5. With the Bears possibly missing some key figures on defense (or having them at less than 100%), this trends favorably to the Raiders being able to string together scoring drives and help push this total over. Fields will likely be asked to make more plays with his feet now that Montgomery is sidelined, which could also help the Bears move the chains offensively. The Raiders are allowing 5.8 yards per play this season, a mark that ranks just outside the bottom 10 in the league. Chicago has been strong in this category (4.1 yards per play, second lowest in the NFL), but that changes if they are missing the likes of Hicks and/or Mack.
Key trend: Over is 5-0 in the last five games for the Raiders following a straight-up loss.
Player props to consider
Justin Fields total rushing yards: Over 29.5 (-120). Fields has already gone over this number once this season and will likely see more work in the running game with Montgomery sidelined.
Hunter Renfrow total receptions: Over 4.5 (-115). Renfrow has gone over this total in ever game this season and is second on the team in targets, looking up to only Darren Waller.
Allen Robinson total receiving yards: Over 55.5 (-115). Fields has yet to truly lean on his star receiver in Robinson, but the two did seem to build some chemistry last week completing all three of their targets for 63 yards. I have a feeling this relationship continues to blossom in Vegas.
