The Milwaukee Brewers aim to take a commanding lead in the 2021 National League Division Series on Saturday evening. The Brewers took Game 1 against the Atlanta Braves on Friday, and Milwaukee hosts Game 2 in its own backyard. Atlanta is in a virtual must-win situation as a result. The Braves will lean on Max Fried as their starting pitcher, with the Brewers sending Brandon Woodruff to the mound.
First pitch in this 2021 MLB playoffs matchup is at 5:07 p.m. ET in Milwaukee. Caesars Sportsbook lists Milwaukee as a -125 favorite (risk $125 to win $100) on the money line, while the over-under, or total number of runs Vegas thinks will be scored, is 7.5 in the latest Braves vs. Brewers odds. Before making any Brewers vs. Braves picks, be sure to see the MLB playoff predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven model.
This model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, enters the 2021 MLB playoffs with a 206-173 record on top-rated MLB money-line picks, returning well over $800. It also had a banner 2019 season, the league’s last full schedule, returning more than $1,400 on its top-rated money-line and run-line MLB picks. Anyone following it has seen some huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Brewers vs. Braves and he just revealed his MLB playoff 2021 picks and analysis. You can head to SportsLine now to see the picks. Now, here are several MLB playoffs odds and betting lines and trends for Braves vs. Brewers:
- Braves vs. Brewers money line: Brewers -125, Braves +115
- Braves vs. Brewers over-under: 7.5 runs
- Braves vs. Brewers run line: Brewers -1.5 (+170)
- ATL: The Braves are 46-36 in road games this season
- MIL: The Brewers are 46-36 in home games in 2021
Featured Game | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves
Why you should back the Braves
Fried has been utterly dominant in recent days for Atlanta, and the left-hander has the ability to slow Milwaukee’s offense. The Brewers were relatively middling in terms of offensive production this season and, even in a Game 1 win, Milwaukee generated only two runs. Fried owns a very strong 3.04 ERA across 165.2 innings in 2021, and his recent work has been even better. Fried has a sparkling 1.74 ERA since the All-Star break, and that dips to just a 1.46 ERA in his last 11 starts since the beginning of August.
Over that 11-start sample, opponents have an ugly .492 OPS against Fried, with 64 strikeouts and only nine walks. Fried has a tremendous 51.8 percent ground-ball rate for the season, and he has nearly four times as many strikeouts as walks. With his dominance and Atlanta’s penchant for power offensively, the Braves can be confident on the road.
Why you should back the Brewers
Milwaukee is an elite team when it comes to run prevention, and this is a strong matchup with Woodruff on the bump. Woodruff owns a 2.56 ERA in 30 starts this season, ranking No. 4 in the NL, and he ranks in the top 10 in strikeout rate (10.6 per 9 innings), strikeouts (211), walk rate (2.16 per 9 innings) and home-run rate (0.9 allowed per 9 innings). Woodruff can turn it over to a strong bullpen, with Milwaukee leading the NL in strikeout rate (10.89 per 9) among relief groups.
Josh Hader is arguably the best reliever in the National League with a 1.23 ERA in the regular season, and he preserved the Game 1 win against the heart of Atlanta’s lineup. The Brewers will also test Fried with patience, as Milwaukee ranks No. 3 in the NL with 586 walks in the regular season.
How to make Braves vs. Brewers picks
The model is leaning under on the total, projecting 7.2 combined runs. It also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get that pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Brewers vs. Braves? And which side of the money line has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed it MLB picks, and find out.
