The NFL will head overseas for the first time this season in Week 5. Sunday’s first game will be a matchup between the New York Jets and Atlanta Falcons. Both teams are 1-4 ahead of the meeting at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London, England. The Jets are looking to build off of an upset victory over the Tennessee Titans last Sunday, while the Falcons hope to avoid dropping a second straight game.
Kickoff is set for 9:30 a.m. ET. Atlanta is a 2.5-point favorite in the latest Jets vs. Falcons odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is 45. Before locking in your Jets vs. Falcons picks and NFL Week 5 predictions, make sure you check out the NFL analysis and betting insight from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,900 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. It went a sizzling 24-14 on top-rated NFL picks last season, returning more than $800. The model also enters Week 5 of the 2021 season on an incredible 124-82 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick ’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has simulated Jets vs. Falcons 10,000 times and just revealed its NFL expert picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Jets vs. Falcons:
- Jets vs. Falcons spread: Atlanta -2.5
- Jets vs. Falcons over-under: 45
- Jets vs. Falcons money line: Atlanta -145, New York +125
- NYJ: Jets are 2-1 against the spread in their last three games against the Falcons
- ATL: Falcons are 5-2 straight-up in their last seven games against the Jets
Featured Game | Atlanta Falcons vs. New York Jets
Why the Jets can cover
New York is only 1-3 against the spread this year, but could take a step in the right direction on Sunday. The Jets covered as six-point underdogs with a 27-24 win over the banged-up Tennessee Titans in Week 4 to gain momentum. Playing on a neutral field could help them against a Falcons team that’s struggling to stop opposing squads from scoring.
The Falcons’ offense has started to bounce back, but they have the worst scoring defense in the NFL through Week 4. They’ve given up a league-high 128 points, and only nine teams have given up more yards per game. New York could stay close if it builds upon its Week 4 performance.
Why the Falcons can cover
Atlanta started 2021 on the wrong foot and only scored six points in its home opener against the Philadelphia Eagles. The Falcons are 1-3 against the spread this season, but they’ve been more consistent on offense than the Jets. New York still needs to prove it can move the chains two weeks in a row.
Matt Ryan has thrown for 526 yards and six touchdowns without throwing a pick over the last two weeks. While Calvin Ridley (out, personal) and Kyle Pitts haven’t excelled, running back/wide receiver Cordarrelle Patterson is producing like an elite weapon. Zach Wilson has thrown a league-high eight interceptions and doesn’t have a reliable weapon. Turnovers could make all the difference in this matchup.
How to make Jets vs. Falcons picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 41 points. It has also locked in a Jets vs. Falcons against the spread pick that hits in almost 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the model’s Jets vs. Falcons picks at SportsLine.
So, who wins Jets vs. Falcons in London? And which side of the spread cashes in nearly 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Jets vs. Falcons spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up over $7,900 on its NFL picks, and find out.
