Sunday, October 6, 2024

2021 MLB playoffs: White Sox vs. Astros odds, ALDS Game 4 picks, predictions from proven computer model

2021 MLB playoffs: White Sox vs. Astros odds, ALDS Game 4 picks, predictions from proven computer model

After losing a wild Game 3, the Houston Astros will get a second chance to close out their 2021 American League Division Series when they take on the Chicago White Sox in Game 4 on Monday afternoon. The Astros (95-67), winners of the AL West Division, won the season series 5-2 and still hold a 2-1 edge in the ALDS. The White Sox (93-69), winners of the AL Central, defeated Houston 12-6 on Sunday night. The White Sox hold a 5-2 all-time postseason edge over Houston, having swept them in the 2005 World Series.

First pitch from Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago is set for 3:37 p.m. ET. The all-time series is tied 40-40. Chicago is a -125 favorite (risk $125 to win $100) on the money line in the latest Astros vs. White Sox odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total runs scored is nine. Before making any White Sox vs. Astros picks, be sure to see the MLB playoff predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven model.

This model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, enters the second week of the 2021 MLB playoffs with a 207-175 record on top-rated MLB money-line picks, returning well over $700. It also had a banner 2019 season, the league’s last full schedule, returning more than $1,400 on its top-rated money-line and run-line MLB picks. Anyone following it has seen some huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on White Sox vs. Astros and revealed its MLB playoff 2021 picks and analysis. You can head to SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are several MLB playoffs odds and trends for Astros vs. White Sox:

  • Astros vs. White Sox money line: Houston +115, Chicago -125
  • Astros vs. White Sox run line: Chicago -1.5 (-145)
  • Astros vs. White Sox over-under: 9
  • HOU: The Astros are 4-0 in their last four Monday games
  • CWS: The White Sox are 7-2 in their last nine games overall

Featured Game | Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros

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Why you should back the White Sox

Chicago will start left-hander Carlos Rodon (13-5, 2.37 ERA). Rodon has been on a roll, having won five of his last six starts, which includes one no-decision. In his last outing, a 6-1 win over Cincinnati on Sept. 29, he did not allow a run on just one hit in five innings. He walked two and struck out four. Since suffering his last loss on July 29, he has not allowed more than two earned runs in any outing since.

Offensively, shortstop Tim Anderson has been red hot. He is 7-for-15 (.467) in the series, including a 3-for-6 performance in Game 3, and has hit in nine straight games. For the season, Anderson batted .309 with 17 home runs, 61 RBIs and 94 runs scored. In 10 games against the Astros this season, including the playoffs, he is batting .318 with one double, one triple, two homers and four RBIs. In 29 career regular-season games vs. Houston, Anderson has eight doubles, one triple, four homers and 11 RBIs.

Why you should back the Astros

Houston is expected to send right-hander Jose Urquidy (8-3, 3.62 ERA) to the mound. Urquidy has won his last four decisions, including a 10-2 win over the White Sox on June 17. In that game, he allowed just two earned runs on four hits in seven innings. He walked one and struck out five. In his last outing, a no-decision against Oakland on Oct. 3, Urquidy allowed three earned runs on four hits in six innings. He walked one and struck out three.

Shortstop Carlos Correa is having a solid series, going 3-for-9 with a double, two RBIs and four runs scored. He was 2-for-3 in Game 1. During the regular season, Correa batted .279 with 26 homers, 92 RBIs and 104 runs scored. In seven games against the White Sox, he had three extra-base hits, including two home runs.

How to make Astros vs. White Sox picks

The model is leaning over on the total, projecting 9.2 combined runs. It also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get that pick at SportsLine

So who wins Astros vs. White Sox? And which side of the money line has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of White Sox vs. Astros you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed it MLB picks, and find out.  

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