The Virginia Cavaliers have the second-best passing offense in college football but two ACC losses. They will try to change their Coastal division fortunes against the Duke Blue Devils on Saturday at 12:30 p.m. ET at Scott Stadium. Duke’s offense has been no joke either and averages nearly 500 yards per game.
The Cavaliers are 4-2 overall and 2-1 at home, while Duke is 3-3 overall and 0-2 on the road. Virginia QB Brennan Armstrong averages 410 passing yards per game, and Duke has the 24th-worst pass defense in the country. The Cavaliers are favored by 10.5 points in the latest Virginia vs. Duke odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over-under is set at 69.5. Before entering any Duke vs. Virginia picks, you’ll want to see the college football predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,800 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 7 of the 2021 season on a 19-7 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Virginia vs. Duke. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football odds for Virginia vs. Duke:
- Virginia vs. Duke spread: Virginia -10.5
- Virginia vs. Duke over-under: 69.5 points
- Virginia vs. Duke Money Line: Virginia -440, Duke +340
- Duke: Covered the spread in four of last five games
Featured Game | Virginia Cavaliers vs. Duke Blue Devils
What you need to know about Virginia
Virginia won a close one its last time out and beat Louisville 34-33. The victory came thanks to a strong surge after the third quarter to overcome a 30-13 deficit. Keytaon Thompson led the charge for Virginia, and punched in one rushing touchdown in addition to catching nine passes for 132 yards. Despite Virginia’s top passing attack, that was Thompson’s first 100-yard receiving game of the season.
Saturday’s game could have the makings of a shootout, as Virginia has had one of the most toothless pass-rushes in college football this season. The Cavs’ nine sacks are tied for the sixth-lowest total in the nation, but the defense does have some solid secondary performers, led by senior cornerback Nick Grant, who has six passes defensed this season.
What you need to know about Duke
Duke had a disappointing showing in its last game, when Georgia Tech beat the Blue Devils at home, 31-27. Duke had strong showings from RB Mataeo Durant, who rushed for one TD and 152 yards on 43 carries, and QB Gunnar Holmberg, who passed for two TDs and 292 yards in addition to picking up 30 yards on the ground in the loss.
The potential for a back-and-forth offensive display could come down to a couple of critical stats. Virginia’s offensive firepower has helped the Cavaliers average more than two more minutes of possession per game than Duke. Both teams have been great at converting on offensive third downs, but Virginia’s defense is far better at getting opponents off of the field on defense than the Blue Devils. Cavs opponents have only converted on third downs 36-percent of the time, while Duke has allowed a 44.5-percent conversion rate.
How to make Virginia vs. Duke picks
The model has simulated Duke vs. Virginia 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Virginia vs. Duke? And which side of the spread is a must-back? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its college football picks and find out.
