Connecticut started the year 0-6 before securing its first win against Yale, an FCS team, last weekend. The Huskies finally have something going for them in the win column, and they’ll look to build on that against Middle Tennessee State on Friday. The Blue Raiders (2-4) got blown out by Liberty the last time they played, but are major road favorites in this matchup.
Kickoff at Rentschler Field is set for 6 p.m. ET on CBS Sports Network. The Blue Raiders are 15.5-point favorites in the latest UConn vs. MTSU odds at Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for points scored is 56. Before making any MTSU vs. UConn picks, you need to check out the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,700 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 8 of the 2021 season on a 22-9 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has locked in on UConn vs. MTSU and just revealed its picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are the college football odds and trends for MTSU vs. UConn:
- MTSU vs. UConn spread: MTSU -15.5
- MTSU vs. UConn over-under: 56 points
- MTSU vs. UConn money line: MTSU -700, UConn +475
- MTSU: The total has gone under in four of the Blue Raiders’ previous five road games
- UConn: The Huskies are 4-1 against the spread in their last five games.
Featured Game | Connecticut Huskies vs. Middle Tenn. Blue Raiders
Why MTSU can cover
Middle Tennessee State hasn’t been particularly successful on the road this year but could turn things around in this matchup. While the Blue Raiders haven’t faced the Huskies since 2001, they’ve dominated them in the all-time series. MTSU is 2-0 against Connecticut and has won by an average of 40 points.
The Huskies have only scored 24 points in this pairing, and their offense could be stagnant on Friday as well. None of Connecticut’s quarterbacks have a completion percentage above 60. They’ve combined to throw nine touchdown passes with 10 interceptions. MTSU has scored more than 30 points in half of its games this season, at the home team might not have enough firepower to keep up.
Why UConn can cover
Connecticut has been excellent against the spread lately and has managed to stay close at home all year. While the Huskies did suffer double-digit defeats against No. 25 Purdue and Holy Cross, their last two home games were decided by an average of four points. Only the Boilermakers have beaten Connecticut by more than 15 points this season.
MTSU looks like the superior team on paper, but the Blue Raiders haven’t won a road game in 2021. The visitors have lost by double-digits in three of their four road games this year. The Huskies have a fighting chance against a team with a poor track record on enemy turf.
How to make UConn vs. MTSU picks
The model says to go under the total since the teams combine for 54 points in the simulations. It also says one side of the spread hits almost 60 percent of the time. You can see which side to back at SportsLine.
So who wins MTSU vs. UConn on Friday? And which side of the spread is hitting almost 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread to back, all from the advanced model on a 22-9 run on its top-rated college football side picks, and find out.
