Welterweight champion Kamaru Usman will make the fifth defense of his title on Saturday against top-rated contender Colby Covington in the main event of UFC 268 at Madison Square Garden. The much-anticipated rematch closes the curtain on the main UFC 268 fight card, which is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET. Usman made his first title defense against Covington in December 2019 and retained it with a fifth-round stoppage. He has since defended the title twice against Jorge Masvidal and once against Gilbert Burns, though Covington is widely considered his biggest potential threat in the division.
Usman is a -290 betting favorite (risk $290 to win $100), while Covington a +245 underdog in the latest Usman vs. Covington odds at Caesars Sportsbook. In the co-main event, women’s strawweight champ Rose Namajunas (-115) takes on Zhang Weili (-105) in another title rematch. Before locking in any UFC 268 picks of your own, make sure you check out the MMA predictions and betting advice from red-hot SportsLine combat expert Andrew Gombas.
Gombas is a former NCAA wrestler who taps into his experience on the mat to dissect the X’s and O’s of MMA matchups in a manner that sets him apart from other MMA analysts. He started the MMA handicapping service MMA Knockout Bets in 2018 and has shown a profit every year since.
With more than 1,200 selections tracked by the third-party monitoring service Bet MMA, he has shown a 10 percent return on investment for his followers. In 2020, $100 bettors who tailed his picks were up $9,200. Just last week at UFC 267, Gombas called the massive upset for Glover Teixeira (+240) against Jan Blachowicz (-280) for the light heavyweight title in the main event. Anyone who has followed Gombas already has seen massive returns.
Now, with UFC 268 in sight, Gombas has studied the card from top to bottom and released his top selections. A successful parlay of those picks would pay better than 8-1. You can head to SportsLine now to see all of Gombas’ expert MMA picks and analysis.
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 preview
Usman (19-1) is undefeated in 13 UFC appearances, and his recent run of dominance has many MMA observers suggesting he is in the conversation alongside the likes of Georges St. Pierre as the most dominant UFC welterweight of all time.
The Nigeria-born fighter won the title with a lopsided decision over former champion Tyron Woodley in March 2019, and his four defenses include a pair of dominant wins over fan favorite Masvidal. Usman was once criticized for his wrestling-heavy style, but his improved striking has shown with three stoppages in his last four fights.
His most competitive title fight to date came against Covington (16-2), the outlandish trash-talker whose larger-than-life persona often overshadows his formidable skill set.
Covington and Usman went toe-to-toe for four-plus rounds in their first meeting, and most observers had the fight at two rounds each heading into the fifth. Kamaru floored the challenger with a series of punches and Covington protested the stoppage at 4:10 of the fifth round, though he appeared to be in peril.
The top-ranked contender has promised a different outcome in the rematch, but Usman has predicted an even more dominant victory. You can only see which fighter to back at SportsLine.
UFC 268 predictions
We’ll share one of Gombas’ UFC 268 selections here: He is going with Bobby Green (-170) to get past Al Iaquinta (+150) in a battle of veteran lightweights.
Green (27-12-1) is an eight-year UFC veteran who has squared off against some of the division’s biggest names. His nonstop pace has made him a fan favorite, and the Californian is coming off a Fight of the Night performance in a decision loss to prospect Rafael Fiziev in August.
Iaquinta (14-16-1) is a rugged brawler who cracked the top five upon winning eight of his first nine UFC appearances. But the New Yorker has lost three of his past four and hasn’t set foot in the Octagon since his lopsided decision loss to Dan Hooker in October 2019.
“Green throws more volume on the feet and is the more active fighter,” Gombas told SportsLine.
How to make UFC 268 selections
Gombas also has strong picks for Usman vs. Covington 2 and the other fights on the UFC 268 card. He’s also backing one fighter “to take over late” and emerge with a dominant victory. Those UFC picks and MMA predictions are only available at SportsLine.
Who wins Usman vs. Covington 2? And what other picks do you need to see for a parlay with a payout of better than 8-1 ? Visit SportsLine now to get detailed top picks on UFC 268, all from the insider who’s up nearly $9,200 on MMA picks in the past year, and find out.
UFC 268 odds, fight card
Kamaru Usman (-290) vs. Colby Covington (+245)
Rose Namajunas (-115) vs. Zhang Weili (-105)
Justin Gaethje (-185) vs. Michael Chandler (+165)
Shane Burgos (-185) vs. Billy Quarantillo (+165)
Frankie Edgar (+145) vs. Marlon Vera (-165)
Alex Pereira (-250) vs. Andreas Michailidis (+210)
Al Iaquinta (+150) vs. Bobby Green (-170)
Phil Hawes (-300) vs. Chris Curtis (+250)
Edmen Shahbazyan (+105) vs. Nassourdine Imamov (-125)
Ian Garry (-340) vs. Jordan Williams (+280)
Gian Villante (-105) vs. Chris Barnett (-115)
CJ Vergara (+150) vs. Ode Osbourne (-170)
Dustin Jacoby (-330) vs. John Allan (+270)
