The No. 7 Michigan State Spartans (8-1) aim to bounce back on Saturday afternoon. Michigan State suffered its first loss of the season a week ago, falling to Purdue 40-29 on the road. Seven days later, the Spartans host the Maryland Terrapins in a Big Ten clash. Maryland is 5-4 overall and 2-4 in Big Ten play, losing to Penn State a week ago.
Kickoff is at 4 p.m. ET in East Lansing. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Spartans as 13-point home favorites, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 61 in the latest Maryland vs. Michigan State odds. Before you make any Michigan State vs. Maryland picks and college football predictions, you need to see what SportsLine’s advanced computer model has to say.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 11 of the 2021 season on a 31-20 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Maryland vs. Michigan State and just revealed its CFB Week 11 picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Now, here are several college football odds and betting lines for Michigan State vs. Maryland:
- Maryland vs. Michigan State spread: MSU -13
- Maryland vs. Michigan State over-under: 61 points
- Maryland vs. Michigan State money line: MSU -550, Maryland +400
- MAR: The Terrapins are 3-6 against the spread this season
- MSU: The Spartans are 6-2-1 against the spread in 2021
Featured Game | Michigan State Spartans vs. Maryland Terrapins
Why Maryland can cover
Maryland is very potent on offense, and this is a friendly matchup on that side of the ball. The Terrapins are putting up 429.8 total yards per game, ranking near the top of the Big Ten, and Maryland is also producing 27.6 points per game. Maryland is especially strong as a passing team, averaging 316.1 yards per contest through the air.
The Terrapins lead the Big Ten in completion rate at 70.5 percent, with Maryland also ranking No. 2 in passing touchdowns with 19. Taulia Tagovailoa leads the Big Ten with 2,755 passing yards, and he is averaging 8.1 yards per pass attempt. Michigan State has many strengths, but the Spartans are struggling defensively. The Spartans are last in the Big Ten in both total defense (443.4 yards allowed per game) and passing defense (326.7 yards allowed per game).
Why Michigan State can cover
Michigan State’s offense has proven to be explosive and efficient. The Spartans are scoring 34 points per game in 2021, with a top-four Big Ten ranking in total offense and an elite rushing attack. Heisman Trophy contender Kenneth Walker III is the leading rusher in the nation with more than 1,300 rushing yards on his own, and Michigan State is averaging nearly 200 yards per game on the ground. Maryland has the third-worst mark in the Big Ten in rushing defense, and Michigan State projects to enjoy success in the running game.
Elsewhere, the Spartans have allowed only 14 sacks this season, effectively protecting quarterback Payton Thorne, and Michigan State is averaging a robust 8.9 yards per pass attempt. Maryland is allowing more than 30 points per game defensively and, with Michigan State also able to rely on a top-tier rushing defense and a havoc-creating group that has 28 sacks defensively.
How to make Maryland vs. Michigan State picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, with both teams projected to throw at least one interception. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only get the model’s Maryland vs. Michigan State pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Maryland vs. Michigan State? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Maryland vs. Michigan State spread you need to jump on Saturday, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.
