The New England Patriots (6-4) and the Atlanta Falcons (4-5) will battle it out on Thursday Night Football in Week 11. The Patriots extended their winning streak to four games after blowing out the Cleveland Browns, 45-7. The Falcons were dominated by the Dallas Cowboys, as they fell 43-3 in Week 10.
Kickoff from Mercedes Benz Stadium is set for 8:20 p.m. ET. New England is favored by 6.5 points in the latest Falcons vs. Patriots odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is 47. Before locking in your Patriots vs. Falcons picks, make sure you check out the NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,500 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters Week 11 of the 2021 season on an incredible 128-89 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has simulated Patriots vs. Falcons 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NFL picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s Thursday Night Football picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Patriots vs. Falcons:
- Falcons vs. Patriots spread: Patriots -6.5
- Falcons vs. Patriots over-under: 47 points
- Falcons vs. Patriots money line: New England -290, Atlanta +235
- NE: Patriots are 4-0 against the spread in their last four games
- ATL: Under is 5-0 in Falcons’ last five Thursday games
Featured Game | Atlanta Falcons vs. New England Patriots
Why the Patriots can cover
New England dominated the Cleveland Browns in its 45-7 blowout victory in Week 10. The Patriots outgained the Browns 452-217 and rookie quarterback Mac Jones had one of his best NFL games thus far. He went 19-of-23 for 198 yards and a career-high three passing touchdowns. Receiver Kendrick Bourne reeled in four passes for a team-high 98 yards with a touchdown. He also added 43 rushing yards on three carries.
This offense rushed for 184 yards at 5.4 yards per tote. The ground attack was led by rookie Rhamondre Stevenson, who had 20 carries for a career-high 100 rushing yards with two scores. New England will face an Atlanta defense that just allowed the Cowboys to finish with 431 total yards of offense.
Why the Falcons can cover
Matt Ryan has completed 68 percent of his passes for 2,274 yards with 15 passing touchdowns. Ryan has also tossed at least two passing touchdowns in six games thus far. The Boston College product has thrown for more than 300 yards in four games this season. His best outing came in Week 9 against the New Orleans Saints, when he went 23-of-30 for a season-high 343 yards and two touchdowns.
Rookie tight end Kyle Pitts leads the team with 40 catches for 606 yards and a touchdown. Pitts is a matchup nightmare for opposing defenses due to his unique combination of size, speed, and sure hands. The 2021 fourth overall pick leads Atlanta with 67.3 receiving yards per game. Pitts recorded back-to-back 100-yard performances against the New York Jets and Miami Dolphins, combining for 16 receptions for 282 yards with one touchdown in the two games.
How to make Falcons vs. Patriots picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning over the total, projecting the teams to combine for 47 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the model’s Falcons vs. Patriots picks at SportsLine.
So who wins Patriots vs. Falcons on Thursday Night Football? And which side of the spread hits in over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Patriots vs. Falcons spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up almost $7,500 on its NFL picks, and find out.
