Bill Belichick and the New England Patriots (6-4) will face Arthur Smith and the Atlanta Falcons (4-5) on Thursday Night Football. The Patriots completely dominated the Cleveland Browns in Week 10 and won 45-7. The Falcons have been inconsistent thus far and have not won two consecutive games all season. Thursday Night Football marks the first game of the Week 11 NFL schedule.
Kickoff from Mercedes Benz Stadium is set for 8:20 p.m. ET. New England is favored by 6.5 points in the latest Falcons vs. Patriots odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is 47. Before locking in your Patriots vs. Falcons picks, make sure you check out the NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,500 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters Week 11 of the 2021 season on an incredible 128-89 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has simulated Patriots vs. Falcons 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NFL picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s Thursday Night Football picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Patriots vs. Falcons:
- Falcons vs. Patriots spread: Patriots -6.5
- Falcons vs. Patriots over-under: 47 points
- Falcons vs. Patriots money line: New England -300, Atlanta +240
- NE: Patriots are 4-0 against the spread in their last four games
- ATL: Under is 5-0 in Falcons’ last five Thursday games
Featured Game | Atlanta Falcons vs. New England Patriots
Why the Patriots can cover
The Patriots put the entire league on notice last week with an emphatic 45-7 victory over the Browns. New England has now won its last four games, and the Patriots can attribute their success to the play of quarterback Mac Jones. The rookie signal-caller completed 19-of-23 passes for 198 yards and three touchdowns last week against Cleveland.
Jones has thrown two or more touchdown passes in three of his last five games. Jones has also taken care of the ball, throwing just one interception in his last four outings. Plus, New England has been dominant on the road, winning four of its last five road games, which includes a 24-6 victory over the Panthers earlier this month.
Why the Falcons can cover
New England has a strong rushing attack and is ranked 15th in the NFL with 114.5 rushing yards per game. Damien Harris leads the charge for New England. He is ninth in the NFL in carries (133), 10th in rushing yards (547), and fourth in rushing touchdowns (seven). Harris was out against the Cleveland Browns due to a concussion, but could suit up on Thursday Night Football.
Running back Rhamondre Stevenson took advantage of his increased playing time against the Browns. He finished with 20 carries for a career-high 100 yards with two touchdowns. The Oklahoma product flashed decisiveness when making cuts while being a tough runner to bring down. Stevenson is second on the team with 55 carries for 236 yards and three scores.
How to make Falcons vs. Patriots picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning over the total, projecting the teams to combine for 47 points. The model also says one side of the spread cashes in more than 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the model’s Falcons vs. Patriots picks at SportsLine.
So who wins Patriots vs. Falcons on Thursday Night Football? And which side of the spread hits more than 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Patriots vs. Falcons spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up almost $7,500 on its NFL picks, and find out.
