The Phoenix Suns saw their 18-game winning streak snapped on Friday, falling to the Golden State Warriors in a clash between Western Conference powers. However, Phoenix still owns a 10-game home winning streak, and the San Antonio Spurs will attempt to end that run on Monday. The Suns are 19-4 this season, with San Antonio entering with an 8-13 overall record. Devin Vassell (quad) is listed as questionable for the Spurs, with Devin Booker (hamstring) and Frank Kaminsky (knee) ruled out for the Suns.
Caesars Sportsbook lists Phoenix as the 7.5-point home favorite for this 9 p.m. ET tipoff. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over-under, is 218.5 in the latest Spurs vs. Suns odds. Before making any Suns vs. Spurs picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 7 of the 2021-22 NBA season up over $1,500 on all top-rated NBA picks this season. It’s also on a stunning 117-77 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread that dates back to last season. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Spurs vs. Suns and just locked in its NBA picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine to see the model’s picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting trends for Suns vs. Spurs.
- Suns vs. Spurs spread: Suns -7.5
- Suns vs. Spurs over-under: 218.5 points
- SAS: The Spurs are 6-5 against the spread in the last 11 road games
- PHX: The Suns are 6-6 against the spread in the last 12 home games
Why the Spurs can cover
The Spurs are very good in a few key areas. San Antonio is tremendous at keeping opponents off the free-throw line, allowing only 17.6 attempts per game, and the Spurs win on the margins by creating 15.2 turnovers per game. San Antonio is sound in transition defense, allowing 10.5 fast-break points per contest, and Phoenix’s offense struggles to generate second-chance opportunities on the glass.
Offensively, the Spurs are in the top five of the NBA in field-goal percentage (46.8 percent), and Gregg Popovich’s team passes at a high level, averaging 27.5 assists per game. San Antonio also puts pressure on the rim, averaging 54.2 points in the paint per game to rank No. 2 in the league. The Spurs round out their attack with top-five marks in second-chance points (14.7 per game) and fast- break points (15.0 per game), with San Antonio also committing only 13.0 turnovers per game in 2021-22.
Why the Suns can cover
Phoenix’s offense is quite good, headlined by an NBA-leading 48.0 percent field-goal shooting mark and top-six rankings in 3-point accuracy, assists and points in the paint. The Suns are even better on defense, however, and it shows in their statistics. Phoenix is No. 3 in the NBA in defensive rating, giving up 104.2 points per 100 possessions. Opponents are shooting just 43.7 percent against the Suns this season, including the No. 2 mark in the NBA in 2-point shooting allowed at 49.4 percent.
Phoenix is in the top 10 of the league in assists allowed (22.4 per game), free-throw attempts allowed (19.4 per game) and points allowed in the paint (42.9 per game), with a top-five mark in steals (9.0 per game). San Antonio is scoring fewer than 1.07 points per possession, a bottom-10 figure in the NBA, and the Spurs are second-worst in the league at creating free-throw attempts, averaging only 16.6 attempts per game at the charity stripe.
How to make Spurs vs. Suns picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, with the teams projected to combine for 216 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Suns vs. Warriors? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.
