Citi Field hosts a National League tilt between the New York Mets and the Arizona Diamondbacks on Saturday afternoon. The matchup is the second game of a three-game weekend set between the teams. New York won the opener on Friday afternoon by a 10-3 margin, improving to 6-2 on the season. Arizona is 2-5 to begin the 2022 campaign.
First pitch is at 1:10 p.m. ET in Queens. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Mets as a -170 favorite (risk $170 to win $100) on the money line, while the over-under, or total number of runs Vegas thinks will be scored, is 7.5 in the latest Mets vs. Diamondbacks odds. Before making any Diamondbacks vs. Mets picks, you need to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
This model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, enters Week 2 of the 2022 season on a 216-181 roll on top-rated MLB money-line picks that dates back to last season, returning over $900 for $100 players. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has locked in on Mets vs. Diamondbacks, and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are the MLB odds and trends for Diamondbacks vs. Mets:
- Mets vs. Diamondbacks money line: Mets -170, Diamondbacks +150
- Mets vs. Diamondbacks over-under: 7.5 runs
- Mets vs. Diamondbacks run line: Mets -1.5 (+125)
- AZ: The Diamondbacks are 19-59 in the last 78 games as a road underdogs
- NYM: The Mets are 40-21 in the last 61 games as home favorites
Featured Game | New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Why you should back the Diamondbacks
Even in the midst of a tough season in 2021, the Diamondbacks led the American League in doubles and finished in the top three in triples. Arizona can also take solace in a strong starting pitching option in this particular contest. Right-hander Zac Gallen takes the ball for the Diamondbacks, and he boasts a career 3.46 ERA across 273.1 innings of work. Gallen is a prolific strikeout artist, producing 10.44 strikeouts per nine innings for his career, and he has a stellar 3.18 ERA in three career starts against the Mets.
Right-handers also struggle against Gallen to the tune of a .212 batting average and a .298 on-base percentage over his career. New York’s offense projects to be improved in 2022, but the Mets finished dead-last in the National League in hits in 2021. The Mets also ranked in the bottom three of the NL in runs scored, doubles, triples, stolen bases and total bases last season.
Why you should back the Mets
The Mets are playing extremely well to begin the season, and they are facing a Diamondbacks team with only 18 runs in its first seven games. New York sits atop the National League in overall offensive production, headlined by 44 runs and 10 home runs in the first eight games. The Mets also have seven stolen bases, taking advantage of team speed, and New York boasts a .268 batting average and a .371 on-base percentage through one week of action.
New York is walking almost 11 percent of the time, and Francisco Lindor has a 20 percent walk rate in the early going. Lindor also blasted two home runs on Friday, improving to a .457 on-base percentage and a .704 slugging percentage in 2022. Brandon Nimmo is also off to a hot start, including a .429 on-base percentage and a .708 slugging percentage with two home runs. New York can also take solace in having Carlos Carrasco (0-0, 1.59 ERA) on the mound, with the veteran boasting a 3.53 ERA in more than 1,000 innings since the start of the 2014 season.
How to make Diamondbacks vs. Mets picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the run total, as the simulation suggests the teams will combine for 9.5 runs. It also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get the model’s pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Mets vs. Diamondbacks? And which side of the money line has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side to jump on, all from the advanced model that has crushed its top-rated MLB picks, and find out.
